400
FNUS75 KFGZ 132141
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Bear...Fort Apache
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
241 PM MST Thu Jun 13 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MST on June 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Above normal temperatures will continue Friday and Saturday,
with the majority of precipitation fading quickly after 5 AM MST on Friday.
Drier conditions will quickly return over the weekend, with afternoon minimum RH
values between 5-10%. Expect daily afternoon winds out of the southwest between 5-10 mph,
with gusts near 15 mph. Winds look to increase through the beginning of next week
along with continued dry weather.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy during early morning, quickly becoming
                    sunny in the early afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....92-96 degrees.
Min humidity........5-10 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest  around 10 mph in the afternoon. Wind gusts
                    possible near 15 mph throughout the day.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......2088.
Mixing height.......10200 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 13500
                    ft AGL late in the morning.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 knots shifting to the west late
                    in the afternoon.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....58-62 degrees.
Max humidity........28-32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming north winds
                    generally less than 5 mph overnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......1.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 knots shifting to the north
                    0 to 5 knots overnight.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....94-98 degrees.
Min humidity........9 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 10 mph in the afternoon. Wind gusts
                    possible near 15 mph throughout the day.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......1453.
Mixing height.......8100 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 12600
                    ft AGL late in the morning.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 0 knots shifting to the
                    southwest late in the morning, then increasing
                    to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...KONIECZNY
Requested by...SITL
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2415841.6/FGZ
.DELDT 06/13/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL 2024.bear.situation@firenet.gov