209
FNUS75 KFGZ 090228
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Cienega Creek...USDA Forest Service
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
728 PM MST Sat Jun 8 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2000 MST on June 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Quiet conditions will continue tonight through
the early morning hours tomorrow. A slight chance of showers/thunderstorms
will begin Sunday afternoon, with less activity expected overnight.
There will be another small chance of showers/thunderstorms Monday afternoon
as well. Outside of gusty/erratic winds from storm development, look for generally
south through west winds 5-10 mph. Overnight winds are expected to become
light and variable.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Chance of pcpn......10-20 percent.
Min temperature.....46-52 degrees.
Max humidity........40-45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph, becoming light and variable
                    overnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......3.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 knots.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......25-35 percent.
Max temperature.....73-76 degrees.
Min humidity........20-25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5-10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......1690.
Mixing height.......12500 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 13700
                    ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 5 knots shifting to the south 10 to
                    15 knots in the late morning and afternoon.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....45-50 degrees.
Max humidity........48-52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light and variable.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......1.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 knots shifting to the northwest
                    overnight.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......10-20 percent.
Max temperature.....75-80 degrees
Min humidity........15 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5-10 mph shifting to the west in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......1637.
Mixing height.......11600 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 14400
                    ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 knots increasing to around 15
                    knots late in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...KONIECZNY
Requested by...Justin Thompson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2415846.0/FGZ
.DELDT 06/08/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL azsdc@firenet.gov