631
FNUS75 KFGZ 141145
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Peavine Rx...Prescott National Forest
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
445 AM MST Fri Jun 14 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 MST on June 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...A few showers and thunderstorms in the area
will dwindle and dissipate by late morning with mostly sunny
skies the remainder of the day. Dry and sunny conditions will
then persist. Relative humidity will be in the low teens today
and single digits tomorrow. Expect dry conditions to persist
all weekend into the start of next week. Generally light north to
northwest winds today will become breezy southwesterlies tomorrow,
increasing through the weekend. Windy conditions expected by
Monday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent in the morning, decreasing to
                    0 percent after noon.
Max temperature.....92 to 93.
Min humidity........10 to 12 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Predominantly north-northwest winds at 4 to
                    7 mph will be light and variable at times.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......1167.
Mixing height.......13100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 knots.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....58 to 60.
Max humidity........31 to 33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light, variable winds below 5 mph this
                    evening will shift to north around 5 mph
                    overnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......2.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 knots shifting to the south late
                    in the evening, then shifting to the east
                    overnight.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....96 to 97.
Min humidity........8 to 10 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph become southwest at
                    12 to 15 mph, gusting to 20 to 25 mph in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......1945.
Mixing height.......7600 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 12700
                    ft AGL late in the morning.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 knots shifting to the
                    southwest in the late morning and early
                    afternoon, then increasing to around 15 knots
                    late in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...MAZON
Requested by...ansgar.mitchell@usda.gov
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2416116.0/FGZ
.DELDT 06/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL cory.carlson@usda.gov,ansgar.mitchell@usda.gov