332
FNUS75 KFGZ 162001
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Bear...Fort Apache
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
101 PM MST Sun Jun 16 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1300 MST on June 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ.

.DISCUSSION...

*Near critical fire weather conditions are expected on Monday
due to enhanced southwest winds and very low humidity.

*Winds decrease Monday evening with poor to moderate humidity
recovery overnight. Afternoon winds remain breezy on Tuesday
with humidity below 15%.

*Extended Forecast: Seasonal temperatures will continue through
Wednesday with dry conditions remaining. Daytime southwest winds,
10 to 20 mph, are forecast becoming light easterly winds overnight.
Chances for dry thunderstorms return on Thursday (15-20%) increasing
for Friday and into the weekend.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....90-93.
Min humidity........5-10 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 12-18 mph, with gusts up to
30 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......2473.
Mixing height.......9400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 25 to 30 mph.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....54-57.
Max humidity........34-38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South-southeast winds 3-6 mph after sunset.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......1.
Mixing height.......50-100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph in the evening,
becoming light and variable overnight.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....87-91.
Min humidity........8-12 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8-12 mph, with gusts up to
22 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......1463.
Mixing height.......9200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph, shifting to the southwest
                    around 20 mph in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...LAGUARDIA
Requested by...SITL
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2415841.9/FGZ
.DELDT 06/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL 2024.bear.situation@firenet.gov