385
FNUS75 KFGZ 250105
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Crazy Basin Fire...AZ-PNF
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
605 PM MST Mon Jun 24 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 MST on June 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Scattered showers will diminish this evening, with
only an isolated shower overnight. Showers and thunderstorms will
develop again on Tuesday and Wednesday, with most activity from
12pm - 6pm. Min RH will be around 25-30 percent each day, with poor
ventilation each morning. Light winds, but gusty around
thunderstorms.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening, then slight
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of pcpn......10-20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 75.
Max humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......5.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 knots shifting to the northwest
                    around 0 knots after 3 am.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 97.
Min humidity........25-30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Good.
Clearing Index......690.
Mixing height.......9800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 0 to 5 knots shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......10-20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 77.
Max humidity........55-60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......11.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 knots.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 99.
Min humidity........25-30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Good.
Clearing Index......656.
Mixing height.......7100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 0 to 5 knots increasing to around 10
                    knots in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...KLIMOWSKI
Requested by...Tyler Heye IC
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416644.0/FGZ
.DELDT 06/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL azpdc@firenet.gov