461
FNUS75 KFGZ 292038
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Wild Flower Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
138 PM MST Sat Jun 29 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1400 MST on June 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Partly cloudy skies and southwesterly winds are
forecast the rest of this afternoon. Shower and thunderstorm
activity is likely to remain north of the fire this afternoon,
with around a 10% chance of a shower or storm at the fire. Light
winds overnight will become southwesterly again Sunday afternoon.
Increasing moisture will lead to a better chance (30%) of
showers and thunderstorms Sunday afternoon, then 40-50% Sunday
night.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower
                    or thunderstorm.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....82 to 85.
Min humidity........27 to 31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest around 10 mph with a few gusts
                    15-20 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Good.
Clearing Index......618.
Mixing height.......10800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 knots.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....65 to 70.
Max humidity........40 to 45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West around 5 mph becoming variable 5 mph
                    or less after midnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......6.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 knots shifting to the northeast
                    after 3 am.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly Cloudy. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....82 to 85.
Min humidity........27 to 32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East to southeast around 5 mph in the morning.
                    Winds shifting to the southwest around 10 mph
                    with gusts 15-20 mph in the afternoon. Gusty
                    and erratic winds near thunderstorms.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Good.
Clearing Index......656.
Mixing height.......8800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 knots shifting to the
                    southwest late in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...JOHNDROW
Requested by...Emmanuel Walker
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416923.0/FGZ
.DELDT 06/29/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Jeffrey.Hammond@usda.gov