Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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217 FXUS64 KFWD 061905 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 205 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024 ...New Long Term... .SHORT TERM... /Issued 1232 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024/ /Through Friday/ Quiet weather will close out the work week as a mid-level ridge gradually builds over the region. Warm afternoon temperatures and mostly sunny skies are expected both today and Friday. There is a very low (10%) chance that an isolated shower or storm will skirt our northwestern zones this evening. Otherwise, rain chances will remain near zero over the next couple of days. High temperatures will be in the 90s both days, but slightly lower humidity than we`ve seen recently will keep heat index values near actual temperatures. Barnes && .LONG TERM... /NEW/ /Saturday through Thursday/ The weekend weather will feature rain-free and warm conditions across North Central Texas, as an upper level ridge of high pressure builds across the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi Valley. Daytime temperatures will rise well into the 90s areawide Saturday, which represents above normal conditions for early June. However, with slightly restrained humidity, heat indices at most locales should only top out in the upper 90s. The ridge will shift just a bit east on Sunday, inhibiting the highs from climbing much beyond the lower to middle 90s. However, slightly higher dewpoints should result in similar heat index vales to those seen Saturday. A pattern evolution will commence Sunday night as the upper ridge begins to flatten, and the first of multiple subtle shortwaves approaches the region from the northwest. The arrival of this weak forcing for ascent will create an opportunity for the development of scattered showers and thunderstorms to our immediate northwest late Sunday night into Monday. Maintained low chance PoPs across our northwest counties Sunday night, spreading area wide on Monday. Substantial cloudiness, coupled with areas of rain and the arrival of a weak cold front, will help limit high temperatures Monday to the 80s. Apart from the likely presence of the weak boundary loitering across our southern zones, overall synoptic scale forcing will be a bit more nebulous on Tuesday. As a result, kept PoPs Tuesday in the slight chance/low chance range, with low PoPs persisting into Wednesday due to widely separated diurnal convection. Highs in the 80s will continue Tuesday and Wednesday, due to residual cloudcover and an absence of large scale subsidence. Unfortunately, an upper ridge will reassert itself across northern Mexico and Texas from Thursday into Friday, sending daytime highs back into the upper 90s by the end of the week. Bradshaw && .AVIATION... /Issued 1232 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024/ /18Z TAFs/ VFR will prevail through the period. Winds will remain variable out of the east/southeast for the remainder of the afternoon with wind speeds below 10 knots. Winds may briefly shift out of the south between 05-08Z tonight, but wind speeds will be below 5 knots during this time. Southerly winds near 10 knots are expected Friday afternoon. Barnes && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 73 94 76 96 76 / 0 0 0 0 0 Waco 70 93 74 94 74 / 0 0 0 0 0 Paris 69 90 71 91 73 / 5 5 0 0 5 Denton 70 94 75 94 74 / 5 5 0 0 0 McKinney 70 93 74 94 74 / 5 5 0 0 0 Dallas 73 94 76 96 77 / 0 0 0 0 0 Terrell 69 92 73 93 74 / 0 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 71 94 74 92 74 / 0 0 0 0 0 Temple 70 94 73 95 73 / 0 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 70 96 73 96 73 / 0 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$