792
FXUS64 KFWD 191935
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
235 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024

...New Long Term...

.SHORT TERM... /Issued 1251 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024/
/Through Thursday/

A band of light rain associated with Tropical Storm Alberto has
made its way into our southern zones and will continue slowly
moving west/northwest through the remainder of the day. Additional
isolated showers may develop as far north as the US-380 corridor,
but most locations will remain rain-free. Fortunately, the rather
dense cloud cover will keep temperatures confined to the 80s
areawide through the afternoon.

A relative lull in rain chances is expected overnight, but
additional showers are expected to develop across portions of
Central Texas Thursday morning through the afternoon. Unlike
today, this activity will remain rather isolated with most
locations missing out on any additional rainfall. Further north,
while a stray shower can`t be ruled out, the potential for any
development is quite low. A silent 10% PoP has been advertised for
much North Texas to reflect the low potential. Otherwise, a warmer
day is expected on Thursday with high temperatures in the mid 80s
to mid 90s.

Barnes

&&

.LONG TERM... /NEW/
/Thursday Night through Wednesday/

Mid level ridging will continue to build across the Plains by
Friday and persist through much of next week meaning the first
week of astronomical summer will get off to a very hot start. The
center of the ridge axis will be over the Mid South on Friday and
shift westward across North Texas and into West Texas by Sunday.
Temperatures will steadily climb from the mid 90s on Friday to
near 100 degrees on Sunday and Monday. In addition to the heat,
deeper boundary layer moisture is expected across Central and
North Texas Monday through Wednesday leading to heat indices
between 105-110 degrees. Heat Advisories will likely be needed
across much of the area next week. While the ridge axis will
continue a westward push through the middle of the week allowing
for modest north/northwesterly flow aloft, rain chances look to
remain at 10% or less for much of our area.

Dunn

&&

.AVIATION... /Issued 1251 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024/
/18Z TAFs/

VFR ceilings will continue to blanket the region through the
afternoon. Winds will slightly vary between E and NE near 10 to
15 knots with occasional gusts to 20 knots. An area of rain is
moving northwest out of Central Texas and approaching the KACT
terminal. Additional isolated to scattered showers are expected to
develop across the region through the remainder of the day. The
potential for showers in the Metroplex is quite low, so VCSH was
not warranted in any of the D10 TAFs at this time. However, a
stray shower can`t be entirely ruled out.

A lull in rain chances is expected tonight, but additional showers
will develop across Central Texas tomorrow. Coverage will be much
more isolated compared to today, so VCSH was not included in the
KACT TAF at this time.

Otherwise, MVFR ceilings are expected again Thursday morning,
though they should be rather brief across North Texas. Winds will
be out of the east around 10 knots.

Barnes

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    77  93  77  94  77 /  20  10   0   0   0
Waco                75  91  73  92  74 /  30  20   0   5   0
Paris               74  92  71  93  73 /   5  10   0   0   0
Denton              75  93  73  95  74 /  10  10   0   0   0
McKinney            75  93  73  94  74 /  10  10   0   0   0
Dallas              77  93  76  95  77 /  20  10   0   0   0
Terrell             75  93  73  93  74 /  20  10   0   0   0
Corsicana           77  94  75  94  76 /  20  10   0   0   0
Temple              74  91  73  92  72 /  30  20   5  10   0
Mineral Wells       75  91  73  93  72 /  10  10   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$