Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE
304 FLUS43 KGID 202112 HWOGID Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Hastings NE 412 PM CDT Mon May 20 2024 KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087- 212115- Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance- Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York- Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin- Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer- 412 PM CDT Mon May 20 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and portions of north central Kansas. .DAY ONE...This Evening and Tonight. Starting mainly after 7 PM, and then lasting well into the overnight and early Tuesday morning hours, thunderstorm chances will be on the increase, with the greatest likelihood and coverage of storms focused within Nebraska counties, and lower chances in north central Kansas. Some of these storms will develop directly over our area, while others roll in from the west, either in the form of intense, individual storms or perhaps as a larger-scale line or complex. Some storms this evening and overnight will likely be severe, and most of the area is under at least a Slight Risk for severe storms, with several Nebraska counties west of Highway 281 assigned a more concerning Enhanced Risk. The primary threats with any severe storms will be damaging winds up to around 70 MPH, and large hail up to around golf ball size. However, there could also be a low chance for tornado development, particularly with any individual supercell storms. In addition, much of especially our Nebraska coverage area will likely receive widespread rainfall between 1 and 3 inches overnight, with localized higher amounts possible in narrow swaths, although it is not yet clear exactly where these might be. A Flood Watch has been issued for most Nebraska counties along and north of Highway 6 where the heaviest rain appears most favored, but some counties just south of the Watch area could also see at least localized heavy rain and possible flooding or flash flooding. Please refer to the Watch statement for more details. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. On Tuesday daytime, mainly between 9 AM and and 1 PM, one final round of strong to potentially severe thunderstorms could sweep across parts of the area from west to east, again favoring Nebraska counties more so than Kansas. Most of our area is under a Marginal to Slight Risk for severe storms, with the higher concern focused mainly along and east of Highway 281. The main hazards with any severe storms would be hail up to around the size of ping pong balls, and damaging winds up to around 60 MPH...in addition to the continued chance for more heavy rain and localized flooding...and the Flood Watch for much of our Nebraska area remains in effect until 1 PM. After 1 PM, any risk for severe storms and heavy rain will have departed east of our area. Between late Wednesday night and Sunday, there are various, intermittent chances for thunderstorms in the forecast. Severe storms are not currently expected with most of these chances, but early indications suggest that Thursday evening or overnight could bear watching for a possible, limited threat. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report any instances of severe weather or potential flooding this evening and overnight. && More information may be obtained at the following web page: https://www.weather.gov/hastings $$ Pfannkuch