657
FNUS75 KGJT 120049
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Snow Ranch fire...USFS
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
649 PM MDT Tue Jun 11 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 MDT on June 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Some isolated showers will linger this evening but
begin to dissipate towards sunset with clearing skies overnight.
Anticipate a much drier day tomorrow and Thursday with warming
temperatures. The next best chance for wetting rain and storm
activity occurs this Friday as a storm system moves through.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (20-40 percent) this evening,
                    becoming mostly clear (10-20 percent) after sunset.
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....52-57.
Max humidity........46-51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast 8 to 12 mph this evening, becoming north-
                    northeast after sunset and downslope/downvalley
                    3 to 5 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good decreasing to poor (7000 knot-ft)
                    overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL decreasing to 900 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....North 10 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....86-91.
Min humidity........10-15 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 mph increasing to southwest
                    10 to 15 mph with gusts to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good increasing to excellent in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........6 or high.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......9100 ft AGL increasing to 14100 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon by peak heating.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 mph.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....53-58.
Max humidity........29-34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 12 mph in the early evening,
                    shifting to the north 5 mph after sunset and
                    becoming downslope overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent decreasing to poor (7000 knot-ft)
                    overnight.
Haines Index........6 or high.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......12000 ft AGL decreasing to 900 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 mph becoming north 10 mph
                    overnight.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....88-93.
Min humidity........7-12 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 mph shifting to the southwest 8 to
                    12 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good increasing to excellent in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........6 or high.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 14400 ft AGL by peak heating in the
                    mid afternoon.
Transport winds.....North 13 mph shifting to the west 16 mph in the
                    afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...Matt Aleksa
Requested by...Fred Ellis
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2415983.0/GJT
.DELDT 06/11/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL fred.ellis@usda.gov