047
FNUS75 KGJT 241426
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Carpenter Ridge RX...BLM
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
826 AM MDT Tue Sep 24 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 MDT on September 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Sunny and dry conditions can be expected over the next
few days with smoke dispersal looking to be good on Wednesday and a
high fair on Thursday...with light winds aloft. Winds on Wed look to
be southerly in the afternoon mixing then more West/Northwest on
Thursday as the pattern shifts a bit in the afternoon.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....75-80.
Min humidity........13-18 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 3 to 8 mph increasing to 7 to
                    12 mph from the South by 1200.
Smoke dispersal.....Increasing to good by peak heating.
Haines Index........4 or low.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 6700 ft AGL by peak heating.
Transport winds.....South 13 mph.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....48-53.
Max humidity........44-49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Terrain driven winds 3 to 8 mph by sunset.
Smoke dispersal.....Decreasing to poor (0 knot-ft) overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to less than 700 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Terrain driven 3 to 8 mph.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....75-80.
Min humidity........13-18 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Terrain driven winds 3 to 8 mph shifting to
                    Northwest at 5 to 10 mph by 1300.
Smoke dispersal.....Increasing to fair in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 8800 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 5 mph shifting to the west 10 mph in the
                    afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...Dennis Phillips
Requested by...Brennon Ellis
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2422956.0/GJT
.DELDT 09/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bellis@blm.gov