Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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324
FNUS53 KGRR 220744
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
344 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024

...Showers/Storms Today...

.DISCUSSION...Showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected
this afternoon. Rainfall amounts of a quarter to half inch are
possible. Dry weather returns Monday.


MIZ037>039-043>045-222015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
344 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 2 PM. Chance of thunderstorms. Rain
                    showers after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........70-75 percent near Lake Michigan and 60-65
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......39 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 42
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the north
                    around 7 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2200-2700 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....350-360 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.14-1.00 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) until 2 AM, then partly
                    cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 PM. Chance of rain
                    showers until 1 AM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....46-51.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    1300-1800 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....230-260 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.15 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3200-3700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4200-4700 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....410-430 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-222015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
344 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 12 PM until 3 PM. Chance of
                    thunderstorms after 12 PM. Rain showers after 3
                    PM.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....77-82.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......27 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest around 7 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....430-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.14-0.32 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    likely until 10 PM. Chance of thunderstorms
                    until 11 PM. Chance of rain showers after 10 PM
                    until 3 AM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....45-50.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....340-410 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.08-0.38 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....440-460 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-222015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
344 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    after 10 AM until 1 PM. Chance of thunderstorms
                    after 10 AM. Rain showers after 1 PM.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......36 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 6 mph shifting to the north
                    around 7 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....240-310 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.22-0.94 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    likely until 9 PM. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 PM. Chance of rain
                    showers after 9 PM until 1 AM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....260-360 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....350-390 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-222015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
344 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 12 PM until 4 PM. Chance of
                    thunderstorms after 2 PM. Rain showers after 4
                    PM.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....78-83.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 7 mph shifting to the west
                    around 8 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....420-440 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.17-0.47 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely
                    until 9 PM. Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 11 PM. Chance of rain showers after 9 PM
                    until 3 AM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....230-280 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.44 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....350-450 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-222015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
344 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 12 PM until 4 PM. Slight chance
                    of thunderstorms after 2 PM. Rain showers after
                    4 PM.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....78-83.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....330-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.15-0.46 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers until 10
                    PM. Chance of thunderstorms until 11 PM. Chance
                    of rain showers after 10 PM until 3 AM.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....150-230 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.55 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....280-360 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers overnight. Lows in
the lower 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs around 70.
Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the evening.
Lows in the mid 50s. North winds 5 to 8 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Northwest winds
5 to 9 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. North winds
5 to 6 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Northeast winds 5 to
9 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.

$$