Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
040
FNUS53 KGRR 301900
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
300 PM EDT Thu May 30 2024

...Next rain chance comes on Saturday...

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure over the area will continue to bring warm and dry
days and cool nights to the area through Friday night. The next
system will approach the area on Saturday, bringing showers to
the area. The best chance of rain will be across Southern Lower.
Mostly dry conditions return Sunday.

MIZ037>039-043>045-310815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
300 PM EDT Thu May 30 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....35-40.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 300-800 ft AGL.
Mixing height.......Inland, 2600-3100 ft AGL decreasing to 0-500 ft
                    AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph shifting to the south
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....40-120 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........41-46 percent near Lake Michigan and 30-35
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 3
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3300-3800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4900-5400 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....630-670 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 11 PM, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1100-1600
                    ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....70-110 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 13
                    percent wetter Inland. .
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2200-2700 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....370-380 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.40 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-310815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
300 PM EDT Thu May 30 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
Min temperature.....35-40.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL decreasing to 0-500 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph shifting to the southwest
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....40-80 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 77.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........29-34 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 7 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5200-5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....580-610 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50-110 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....420-440 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.17-0.40 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-310815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
300 PM EDT Thu May 30 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....44-49.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-1000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    1500-2000 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the southeast
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....50-70 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........33-38 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5100-5600 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....560-650 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Min temperature.....54-59.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 6 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....70-80 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 2 PM. Rain showers likely after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....290-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.14-0.98 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-310815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
300 PM EDT Thu May 30 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
Min temperature.....41-46.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL decreasing to 100-600 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-120 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 78.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........26-31 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5400-5900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....520-560 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 6 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL decreasing to 100-600 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    likely after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.35-0.93 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-310815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
300 PM EDT Thu May 30 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
Min temperature.....41-46.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph shifting to the south
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....50-60 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 77.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........28-33 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5000-5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....450-620 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 6 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-80 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    likely after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....450-470 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.53-1.09 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms in the evening. Lows in the mid 50s. East
winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the northwest overnight.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. West winds 5 to
9 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds 5 to
9 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in
the lower 80s. South winds 7 to 12 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms.
Showers likely in the evening, then a chance of showers overnight.
Lows in the lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 80.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
70s.

$$