407
FNUS53 KGRR 310755
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
355 AM EDT Fri May 31 2024

...Dry Until Saturday Afternoon...

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure was directly over Lower Michigan on Thursday and
is now moving to the east. A light breeze from the south is
expected today with some cirrus clouds streaming in. Dry air
will be in place until Saturday afternoon with the development
of showers and a slight chance of a thunderstorm.


MIZ037>039-043>045-312015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
355 AM EDT Fri May 31 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-44 percent near Lake Michigan and 28-33
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 5
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5200-5700 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....680-690 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 5 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Min temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........72-77 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 5 PM, then rain showers likely.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-54 percent near Lake Michigan and 39-44
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 15
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3300-3800 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....480-490 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.50 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-312015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
355 AM EDT Fri May 31 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 77.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........27-32 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 7 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5300-5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....580-650 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 5 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 51.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........78-83 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50-90 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....560-580 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.10-0.25 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-312015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
355 AM EDT Fri May 31 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........33-38 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5400-5900 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....580-590 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 5 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (80-90 percent).
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........67-72 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....70 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 PM, then rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2500-3000 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....350-380 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.35-0.60 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-312015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
355 AM EDT Fri May 31 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 77.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........23-28 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5500-6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....510-580 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 5 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Min temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........69-74 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50-60 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    likely after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....630-680 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.07-0.53 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-312015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
355 AM EDT Fri May 31 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 77.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........25-30 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5200-5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....420-570 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 5 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........69-74 percent.
   24 hr trend......31 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    likely after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....640-710 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.50 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Southeast
winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the northwest 5 to 6 mph overnight.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Northwest winds 5 to
9 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Southeast winds
5 to 6 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon. Highs in the lower 80s. South winds 6 to 11 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms.
Showers likely in the evening, then a chance of showers overnight.
Lows in the lower 60s. South winds 5 to 9 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers until midday, then
showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs
in the lower 80s.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 60.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
70s.

$$