Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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704
FNUS53 KGRR 241957
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
357 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024

...Rain ending tonight...

.DISCUSSION...
Rain could be heavy at times this evening before low pressure
moves east and the rain ends by Wednesday morning. Dry weather
is expected Wednesday through Friday. Some more rain is
possible over the weekend.

MIZ037>039-043>045-250815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
357 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers until 12
                    AM. Slight chance of thunderstorms until 2 AM.
                    Chance of rain showers after 12 AM. Patchy
                    fog after 5 AM until 7 AM.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....70 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.81 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......27 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3900-4400 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....350-490 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....43-48.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....30-40 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....74-79.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5700-6200 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....270-390 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-250815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
357 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely
                    until 2 AM. Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 5 AM. Chance of rain showers after 2 AM.
                    Patchy fog after 5 AM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the north
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....70-120 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.13-0.43 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog until
                    9 AM. Slight chance of rain showers until 2
                    PM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....340-520 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....43-48.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....30-40 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6000-6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-440 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-250815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
357 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    until 2 AM. Chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    rain showers after 2 AM. Patchy fog after 5 AM.

Chance of pcpn......near 100 percent.
Min temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....70-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.08-1.47 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent) until 5 PM, then
                    sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy fog until 9 AM.
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....320-410 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....47-52.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northeast overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....20-40 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....74-79.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5300-5800 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....360-480 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-250815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
357 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely
                    until 12 AM. Chance of thunderstorms until 5
                    AM. Chance of rain showers after 12 AM.
                    Patchy fog after 5 AM.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 58.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the
                    northwest overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....80 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.09-0.68 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog until
                    9 AM.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........61-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....280-500 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....47-52.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......400-900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....30-40 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5500-6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....360-460 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-250815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
357 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    likely until 12 AM. Chance of thunderstorms
                    until 3 AM. Chance of rain showers after 12 AM
                    until 3 AM. Patchy fog after 5 AM.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 59.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the west
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....100-120 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.05-1.34 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 2 PM, then
                    mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog until
                    9 AM.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........63-68 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3500-4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....210-410 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 50.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....30-50 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4800-5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....380-480 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. East winds
5 to 9 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Northeast winds 7 to
12 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 50s. Northeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
70s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid 70s.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
50s.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower
70s.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 50s.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper
60s.

$$