017
FNUS53 KGRR 160751
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
351 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

...Very warm with a slight chance of rain today...

.DISCUSSION...High temps will reach well into the 80s today with
just a small chance for a shower or isolated thunderstorm
across northern and central lower Michigan. It will become very
hot and quite humid beginning Monday through the upcoming week.


MIZ037>039-043>045-162015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
351 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 11 AM until 5 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....81-86.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 11 to 16 mph with gusts to around
                    26 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4100-4600 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....830-1160 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.23 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......27 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph in
                    the evening.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....110-240 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.12 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....88-93.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........53-58 percent near Lake Michigan and 41-46
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and
                    unchanged Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4600-5100 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1040-1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.20 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-162015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
351 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 86.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4600-5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900-1220 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 95.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5400-5900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1230-1400 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.15 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-162015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
351 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers after 11 AM until 5 PM. Slight chance
                    of thunderstorms after 2 PM until 5 PM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....86-91.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 11 to 16 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4400-4900 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....740-1120 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.14 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....80-290 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....91-96.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........49-54 percent near Lake Michigan and 40-45
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 4
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5400-5900 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....970-1230 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.28 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-162015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
351 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 86.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........31-36 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 11 to 16 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....940-1190 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 11 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in
                    the evening.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....90-250 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 95.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5600-6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1070-1290 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.54 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-162015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
351 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 88.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........31-36 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4800-5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....780-1080 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 11 PM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....80-230 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 95.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6000-6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....980-1180 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.66 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds
5 to 9 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 90s. South winds 6 to 11 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.JUNETEENTH...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest
winds 5 to 6 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. West winds 5 to
9 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
60s.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 80s.

$$