Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
293
FNUS53 KGRR 241948
FWFGRR
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
348 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024
...Strong to severe storms possible Tuesday...
.DISCUSSION...A line of strong, possibly severe, storms will move
through the region early Tuesday morning. Strong winds and damaging
hail are the main threats. Temperatures should recover daytime Tuesday
with highs in the upper 80s. There is a slight chance for storms
Late Tuesday.
MIZ037>039-043>045-250830-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
348 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 5 AM, then
mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 2 AM until 5
AM, then showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....60-65.
24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph and
gusty overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1100-1600
ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....80-160 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.18-0.62 in.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms until 9 AM. Showers likely until
11 AM. Chance of thunderstorms after 9 AM until
11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent early in the morning.
Max temperature.....76-81 near Lake Michigan and around 84 Inland.
24 hr trend......1 degree warmer near Lake Michigan and 3
degrees warmer Inland.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 11 to 16 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
3100-3600 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....580-810 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....57-62.
24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 6 mph in the evening becoming
light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
1200-1700 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-240 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....75-80.
24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........59-64 percent near Lake Michigan and 48-53
percent Inland.
24 hr trend......6 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 5
percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
5800-6300 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....850-1160 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.
$$
MIZ040-046-250830-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
348 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 5 AM, then
mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
showers after 4 AM until 6 AM. Chance of
thunderstorms after 5 AM. Showers likely after
6 AM.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 8 mph
overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-140 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.17-0.34 in.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Showers likely
until 11 AM. Chance of thunderstorms until 2
PM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 12 to 17 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......3500-4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....790-920 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....57-62.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-350 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....74-79.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......6200-6700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900-1190 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.
$$
MIZ050-056-064-071-250830-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
348 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) until 5 AM, then
mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers likely
and a chance of thunderstorms after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....64-69.
24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-95 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 12 mph and
gusty overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph increasing to around 20 mph
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....60-170 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.18-0.80 in.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Showers and a
chance of thunderstorms until 2 PM. Slight
chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....83-88.
24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........59-64 percent.
24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 12 to 17 mph with gusts to
around 27 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
3100-3600 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....730-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.08 in.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 5 AM, then
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms until 11 PM. Chance of showers.
Chance of thunderstorms after 11 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....61-66.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-190 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....77-82.
24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
6000-6500 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....680-1210 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.
$$
MIZ051-052-057>059-250830-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
348 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) until 5 AM, then
mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers likely
and a chance of thunderstorms after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph
overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph increasing to south
around 15 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....120-160 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.10-0.38 in.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Showers until 11
AM. Chance of thunderstorms. Chance of showers
after 11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 14 to 19 mph with gusts to
around 29 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3300-3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....850-910 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of
showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-270 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....78-83.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........36-41 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......7200-7700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....880-1370 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.
$$
MIZ065>067-072>074-250830-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
348 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent) until 5 AM, then
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 5 AM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent toward daybreak.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........81-86 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph
overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft AGL decreasing to 200-700 ft AGL
overnight.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph increasing to around 15 mph
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....120-130 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.07-0.50 in.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Showers and a
chance of thunderstorms until 2 PM, then a
slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 14 to 19 mph with gusts to
around 29 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800-1160 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.08 in.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 5 AM, then
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms until 11 PM. Chance of showers.
Chance of thunderstorms after 11 PM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-260 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.12 in.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent) until 5 PM, then
sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....80-85.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft AGL increasing to 6700-7200 ft AGL
in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....670 (excellent) increasing to 1260 (excellent)
in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. North winds 5 to 8 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Southeast
winds 5 to 9 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower
80s. South winds 6 to 11 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Warmer. Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. West winds 7 to 12 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cooler. Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.
$$