Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 220740
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
340 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

...Heavy rain/storms today...

.DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms with heavy rain are expected today,
especially north of M-46 where over 2 inches of rain is possible.
Additionally, strong to severe thunderstorms are possible today.

Dry weather is anticipated Sunday.


MIZ037>039-043>045-222015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
340 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers and a
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....80-85.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........74-79 percent near Lake Michigan and 63-68
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 19
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2700-3200 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....330-470 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.32-1.12 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers with
                    thunderstorms likely until 2 AM, then a chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms until 6 AM.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....58-63.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1500-2000
                    ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....160-420 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.37-1.31 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 2 PM, then
                    mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........68-73 percent near Lake Michigan and 58-63
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 16
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3700-4200 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....840-1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-222015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
340 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers and a
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....80-85.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........58-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 8 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....460-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.24-1.01 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers with
                    thunderstorms likely until 2 AM, then a chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph increasing to west
                    around 25 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....170-450 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.29-0.82 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 2 PM, then
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 77.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1020-1360 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-222015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
340 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 12 PM. Chance of showers.
                    Chance of thunderstorms after 12 PM.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....87-92.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6500-7000 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1390-1550 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.96 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers with
                    thunderstorms likely.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    in the evening.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    1700-2200 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....360-530 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.16-0.86 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 2 PM, then
                    mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........62-67 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2300-2800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3500-4000 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....750-1020 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-222015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
340 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers likely
                    until 2 PM. Chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    showers after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....85-90.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5900-6400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1040-1170 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.55 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Thunderstorms likely
                    until 2 AM. Showers. Chance of thunderstorms
                    after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph and gusty.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....220-490 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.12-0.53 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 79.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 9 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....990-1410 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-222015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
340 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) until 2 PM, then
                    partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of showers
                    and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....88-93.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7300-7800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1460-1710 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 11 PM, then
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers and a chance of
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph and gusty.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....380-470 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.26 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 2 PM, then
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....77-82.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 9 to 14 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....860-1220 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds
5 to 6 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 80s. South winds 7 to 12 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cooler. Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s.

$$