Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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027
FNUS53 KGRR 231909
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
309 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

...Dry tonight and Monday then precipitation returns...

.DISCUSSION...Temperature and humidity will be significantly
lower for tonight and Monday. Showers and thunderstorms return
to the forecast Monday night into Tuesday. After Tuesday night
we will return to dry conditions and temperatures will be near
normal for this time of year.


MIZ037>039-043>045-240815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
309 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 2000-2500
                    ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50-320 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....77-82.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........54-59 percent near Lake Michigan and 42-47
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 19
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5200-5700 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the southwest in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....280-410 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 5 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers likely
                    and a chance of thunderstorms after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....70-160 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.19-0.79 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2 PM, then
                    mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....81-86.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........69-74 percent near Lake Michigan and 61-66
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 22
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to
                    around 26 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3000-3500 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....610-880 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.27 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-240815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
309 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 7 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2300-2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-390 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 82.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5600-6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the southwest in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....290-390 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) until 5 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers after 2 AM. Chance of thunderstorms
                    after 5 AM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....57-62.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 8 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....80-160 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.08-0.29 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....780-1170 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.22 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-240815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
309 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    1800-2300 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-370 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....78-83.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5300-5800 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the west in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....340-510 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent) until 5 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........82-87 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 10 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-190 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.34-0.82 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Showers likely
                    until 2 PM. Chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    showers after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....85-90.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3500-4000 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....950-1180 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.15-0.66 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-240815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
309 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....54-59.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 8 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL decreasing to 100-600 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-480 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 83.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........29-34 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5900-6400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the west in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....300-460 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
                    showers after 2 AM. Chance of thunderstorms
                    after 5 AM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........82-87 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 9 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....120-150 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.46 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....84-89.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 13 to 18 mph with gusts to
                    around 27 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....960-1260 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.19-0.83 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-240815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
309 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 58.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 8 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft AGL decreasing to 500-1000 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....80-540 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 82.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6000-6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....340-520 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........79-84 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 9 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph increasing to south
                    around 15 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....100-140 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.44 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....87-92.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 11 to 16 mph with gusts to
                    around 26 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....940-1330 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.45-1.04 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Northwest winds
6 to 11 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cooler. Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. North winds 5 to 9 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Southeast
winds 5 to 9 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 80. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Warmer. Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers in the evening.
Lows in the upper 50s.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.

$$