040
FXUS64 KHGX 150413
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1113 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday Night)
Issued at 239 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2024

High pressure over Texas will keep the weather generally uneventful,
with the exception of isolated showers/storms possible north of I-10
this afternoon (Piney Woods/Livingston areas). Activity may also form
along the sea breeze this afternoon as it moves inland. Otherwise,
expect warm temperatures and partly cloudy skies. Lows for tonight
Will be in the 70s with light patchy fog possible in the early
morning hours.

As for Sunday, a combination of a diffuse surface boundary moving,
forcing from remnants of Ileana (coming from the Pacific) and
remnants of Francine that will be sagging into the Lower Mississippi
Valley will yield about a 20-30% chance of showers and storms
generally west of I-45 on Sunday. Elsewhere, ridging and southerly
flow will continue to contribute to above normal daytime
temperatures as highs warm into the upper 80s along the coast and
into the 90s further inland. Locations in the Brazos Valley may be a
degree or two shy of 100F.

Adams

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through next Friday)
Issued at 239 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2024

Not a lot of issues are expected during the long-term with ridging
at the mid/upper levels prevailing through much of next week. Rain
chances should be hard to come by...with the seabreeze as the main
focus for isolated afternoon activity along/near the coast. Other-
wise, it`s going to be mostly hot and dry with a revisit of summer
like temperatures. Highs to range from the lower to mid 90s...with
heat index values in the 100-107F range. Hashtag second summer. 41

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1100 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2024

Light, variable winds will continue through the night with the
potential for patchy fog bringing visibilities down to 4-6mi at
times. There will also be SCT to BKN clouds at around 1500ft
through the predawn hours. The patchy fog and MVFR CIGs will
dissipate shortly after sunrise. VFR conditions will prevail
through the day on Sunday, but there will be scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms developing across the area during the
afternoon and into the evening. Confidence is low on exactly where
the storms will develop, so kept wording to PROB30 TS at this
time. Southerly winds will prevail through the day, but will be
variable near storms. The shower and storm activity will wane by
2z with light and variable winds returning for Sunday night.

Fowler

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 239 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2024

Generally light to occasionally moderate S/SW winds to prevail for
the rest of the weekend. Winds are then expected to shift become a
bit more S/SE by next week. Seas will remain light (1-3ft) through
the period. A few showers or storms will be possible over offshore
waters towards the end of the upcoming week. 41

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)  76  98  73  95 /  10  30  30   0
Houston (IAH)  77  96  76  94 /  10  40  30  10
Galveston (GLS)  78  88  77  86 /  10  20  20  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....Adams
AVIATION...Fowler
MARINE...41