586
FXUS64 KHUN 070550
AFDHUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
1250 AM CDT Fri Jun 7 2024

...New AVIATION...

.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of tonight)
Issued at 905 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024

Lingering cloudiness from earlier today has given way to mostly
clear skies this Thu evening, as a weak cold front draped west to
east drops into mid TN. This front will continue to move thru the
central TN Valley overnight, allowing lows into early Fri to drop
mainly into the lower/mid 60s. Some light fog is possible into the
early morning hrs as well, although no sig impacts are expected
with any potential fog.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Friday through Saturday night)
Issued at 129 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024

High pressure will settle into the TN valley late Friday into
Friday night. High temperatures will reach the lower 80s for most
areas, with noticeably lower humidity. The drier and cooler air
will result in Saturday morning lows in the upper 50s to around
60. 5h flow will become west-northwest from the central Plains
into the OH valley on Saturday, which brings a fast moving
shortwave and MCS through the lower MO valley into the OH valley
Saturday into Saturday night. This is followed by additional MCS
development in KS and southern MO which may spill into TN and
perhaps far north AL by early Sunday morning. For now, have kept
low chances after midnight Sunday morning.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Wednesday)
Issued at 359 AM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024

The afore-mentioned cold front will probably move southward
through the TN Valley, and perhaps even farther into the Southeast
and Gulf Coastal Plain region early next week. This solution is
supported generally by the latest 00Z operational guidance suite.
However, some of the global ensemble suite is not supportive of
this solution and tend to indicate the front may have slower
movement through the region, perhaps stalling in the vicinity of
the TN Valley. So, slight chance POPs were retained for the
period from Monday through Wed next week to account for this
uncertainty.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1250 AM CDT Fri Jun 7 2024

Few-sct high-based Cu depicted in current satellite imagery will
likely spread southeastward and out of the region by 8Z, with an
extended period of SKC conds anticipated until redevelopment of
diurnal Cu occurs by 16Z. Although this may promote the
development of patchy BR/FG in a few locations btwn 10-13Z, a
gradual increase in NNW flow is expected during this timeframe and
we will not introduce any vsby reductions in the TAFs at this
point. NNW winds will increase to 8G16 kts later this morning,
before becoming lgt/vrbl prior to sunset as a ridge of sfc high
pressure build eastward into the region.

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
TN...None.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...09
SHORT TERM...17
LONG TERM...KDW
AVIATION...70/DD