Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS
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991 FXUS63 KICT 050843 AFDICT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wichita KS 343 AM CDT Wed Jun 5 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - Mild and dry today through early Friday. - Storm chances will increase for Friday night through Saturday night with seasonably cool air arriving Sunday through Tuesday. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 339 AM CDT Wed Jun 5 2024 A stable post-frontal regime is firmly established across the area leading to tranquil and warm weather conditions today through early Friday. With drier air overspreading the area, a large diurnal range is anticipated today with highs climbing into the upper 80s and lower 90s for much of south central and central KS. Another subtle front will usher in cooler air on Thursday with highs in the 80s for most areas. We continue to see a decent setup for nocturnal storms Friday night. Elevated storms capable of large hail and heavy rain are anticipated given ample mucape/directional shear and lengthy 1-6km bulk shear vectors. As the previous forecaster mentioned, the better storm coverage looks to be over central and especially eastern KS where low-level moisture transport will be maximized. Another frontal boundary will arrive late Saturday night into Sunday driving the better storm chances south of the area with drier and cooler air overspreading the area on Sunday-Monday where many locations will see below normal temperatures. Another shortwave trough will sweep across the central CONUS late Monday into Tuesday bringing another round of showers and storms to the area keeping seasonably cool air in place across the area. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/... Issued at 1237 AM CDT Wed Jun 5 2024 VFR conditions expected over the next 24hrs across the region as surface high pressure builds over the area in the wake of a cold frontal passage. Winds will gradually switch from the north to the southwest as the surface high pressure slides eastward during the day on Wednesday. && .ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...MWM AVIATION...CDJ