Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
650 FNUS52 KILM 200659 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 259 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024 .DISCUSSION... Seasonably warm and mainly dry conditions will continue into tonight. Onshore movement of showers and possibly a tstorm late tonight into Fri as a result of low pressure tracking across the Atlantic, that eventually moves onshore the GA and FL Coasts Fri. A warming trend expected this weekend as winds become S to SW along with summer-like chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Heat indices may reach the triple digits over the weekend. Back to more humid conditions next week with a better chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight is None. NCZ105>110-202300- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 259 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20 Precip Type None None Tstms LAL 1 1 3 Max/Min Temp 89 65 89 Min/Max RH (%) 44 97 56 Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 6 G17 E 6 G17 NE 4 Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 9 G18 Lgt/Var E 6 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.04 Precip Duration 2 Precip Begin 8 AM Precip End Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/0800 2000 75/0800 Dispersion Poor Haines Index 4 4 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5800 4600 Transport Wind (mph) E 16 E 12 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 92800 55200 ADI Early 100 Good 78 Good 44 Gen Good ADI Late 98 Good 5 Very Poor 49 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 6 4 6 Max LVORI Late 1 6 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-202300- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 259 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20 Precip Type None None Tstms LAL 1 1 2 Max/Min Temp 92 65 92 Min/Max RH (%) 37 98 43 Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 4 E 5 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 7 Lgt/Var E 4 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01 Precip Duration 1 Precip Begin 8 AM Precip End 6 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 72/0800 2000 76/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 4 4 4 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 6700 5500 Transport Wind (mph) E 14 SE 8 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 93800 44000 ADI Early 98 Good 85 Good 44 Gen Good ADI Late 101 Very Good6 Very Poor 51 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 8 4 8 Max LVORI Late 1 7 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability B F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 43 percent. South winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-202300- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 259 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 30 Precip Type None None Tstms LAL 1 1 3 Max/Min Temp 89 66 88 Min/Max RH (%) 43 96 62 Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 6 G19 E 6 G19 NE 4 Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 10 G21 NE 4 E 6 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.15 Precip Duration 2 Precip Begin 7 AM Precip End Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/0800 2100 74/0800 Dispersion Poor Haines Index 4 4 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 6200 3900 Transport Wind (mph) E 17 E 13 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 105400 50700 ADI Early 98 Good 84 Good 47 Gen Good ADI Late 103 Very Good6 Very Poor 50 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 6 4 6 Max LVORI Late 1 6 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-202300- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 259 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 0 0 30 Precip Type None None Tstms LAL 1 1 3 Max/Min Temp 91 64 91 Min/Max RH (%) 37 97 47 Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 5 E 5 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 7 Lgt/Var E 5 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.05 Precip Duration 1 Precip Begin 8 AM Precip End Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 72/0800 2100 75/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 4 4 4 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 6800 5100 Transport Wind (mph) E 15 E 10 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 102000 51000 ADI Early 104 Very Good92 Good 47 Gen Good ADI Late 108 Very Good6 Very Poor 52 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 8 4 8 Max LVORI Late 1 7 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability B F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 42 percent. South winds around 5 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...dch