Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
765
FNUS52 KILM 191314
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
914 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Seasonably warm and mainly dry conditions will continue through
mid week as high pressure sits well offshore. Warmer and moister
conditions are then expected late in the week through early next
week with a better chance for some showers and storms.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-200515-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
914 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 88 65 87
Min/Max RH (%) 42 83 48
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 6 G18 E 6 G18 NE 5 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 10 G19 Lgt/Var E 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/0800 2000 73/0800
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6100 5100
Transport Wind (mph) E 16 E 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 97600 81600
ADI Early 93 Good 87 Good 88 Good
ADI Late 95 Good 6 Very Poor 89 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 4
Max LVORI Late 1 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-200515-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
914 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 91 65 90
Min/Max RH (%) 37 87 42
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 4 E 5 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 7 Lgt/Var E 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/0900 2000 71/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6700 5800
Transport Wind (mph) E 16 E 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 107200 81200
ADI Early 90 Good 106 Very Good86 Good
ADI Late 108 Very Good6 Very Poor 90 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 43 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-200515-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
914 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 88 65 87
Min/Max RH (%) 45 86 48
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 6 G20 E 7 G20 NE 6 G18
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 10 G20 Lgt/Var E 8 G19
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/0900 2000 73/0800
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5900 5500
Transport Wind (mph) E 18 E 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 106200 93500
ADI Early 89 Good 95 Good 93 Good
ADI Late 92 Good 6 Very Poor 95 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 4
Max LVORI Late 1 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. East winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-200515-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
914 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 90 65 90
Min/Max RH (%) 39 88 41
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 5 E 6 NE 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 8 Lgt/Var E 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0900 2100 71/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6800 6100
Transport Wind (mph) E 17 E 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 115600 85400
ADI Early 90 Good 109 Very Good84 Good
ADI Late 112 Very Good6 Very Poor 92 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Bright