Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
312
FNUS52 KILM 231919
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
319 PM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure north of the area weakens by Tuesday allowing for a
rise in humidity and perhaps some very light rain. More unsettled
weather should return late week as we see at least some fringe
effects from low pressure tracking northward from the Gulf of
Mexico.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-241130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
319 PM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 20 0 0
Precip Type None Tstms None None
LAL 1 2 2 2
Min/Max Temp 67 84 68 86
Max/Min RH (%) 98 71 100 65
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 5 Lgt/Var SE 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 75/1000 1900 75/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3500 4300
Transport Wind (mph) S 12 SE 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 42000 43000
ADI Early 14 Gen Poor 22 Fair 23 Fair 37 Fair
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 39 Fair 5 Very Poor 41 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 6 6 9
Max LVORI Late 6 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
72 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 78 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds around
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-241130-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
319 PM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 20 40 30 20
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers Tstms
LAL 2 2 3 2
Min/Max Temp 67 85 68 86
Max/Min RH (%) 100 70 100 62
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var SE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.04 0.06 0.01
Precip Duration 0 2 2 1
Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 75/1000 1900 73/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3500 3900
Transport Wind (mph) S 14 S 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 49000 46800
ADI Early 20 Gen Poor 30 Fair 22 Fair 39 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 36 Fair 6 Very Poor 43 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 8 7 9
Max LVORI Late 8 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
68 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-241130-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
319 PM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 30 0 0
Precip Type None Tstms None None
LAL 1 2 2 1
Min/Max Temp 69 87 69 86
Max/Min RH (%) 100 69 100 64
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var SE 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 76/0900 1900 75/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3400 3900
Transport Wind (mph) S 13 SE 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 44200 46800
ADI Early 27 Fair 33 Fair 28 Fair 32 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 43 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 41 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 7 9 7 9
Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
73 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds around
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-241130-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
319 PM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 20 30 30 20
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 2 3 2
Min/Max Temp 69 87 69 86
Max/Min RH (%) 100 65 100 60
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var SE 5
Precip Amount 0.01 0.04 0.03 0.01
Precip Duration 0 2 1 0
Precip Begin 3 AM Continuing Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing Continuing 5 AM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 74/0900 1900 73/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3900 4000
Transport Wind (mph) S 14 SE 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 54600 48000
ADI Early 32 Fair 33 Fair 20 Gen Poor 40 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 52 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 37 Fair
Max LVORI Early 9 9 7 9
Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent.
East winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$