Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
201
FNUS52 KILM 180721
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
321 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Rain-free and seasonably warm conditions for much of this week
as high pressure sits well offshore. A warming trend begins late
in the week with afternoon showers and thunderstorms for the
weekend.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-182330-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
321 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 86 64 87
Min/Max RH (%) 45 95 47
Wind20ft/Early (mph) E 5 E 6 G18 E 5 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 10 G19 Lgt/Var E 9 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/0800 2000 73/0800
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 5700
Transport Wind (mph) E 18 E 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 97200 96900
ADI Early 96 Good 86 Good 91 Good
ADI Late 98 Good 6 Very Poor 96 Good
Max LVORI Early 7 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-182330-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
321 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 90 64 90
Min/Max RH (%) 38 96 42
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var E 5 NE 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 7 Lgt/Var E 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 72/0800 2100 73/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6000 6300
Transport Wind (mph) E 16 E 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 96000 94500
ADI Early 88 Good 91 Good 88 Good
ADI Late 105 Very Good6 Very Poor 102 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 8 4 7
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 44 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-182330-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
321 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 86 64 88
Min/Max RH (%) 47 95 48
Wind20ft/Early (mph) E 5 G18 E 6 G19 NE 5 G18
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 10 G20 Lgt/Var E 9 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/0900 2100 73/0800
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 5700
Transport Wind (mph) E 17 E 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 91800 102600
ADI Early 91 Good 94 Good 89 Good
ADI Late 97 Good 6 Very Poor 105 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-182330-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
321 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 90 64 90
Min/Max RH (%) 39 97 43
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var E 6 NE 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 8 G17 Lgt/Var E 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 72/0900 2100 74/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6300 6300
Transport Wind (mph) E 16 E 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 100800 100800
ADI Early 87 Good 101 Very Good81 Good
ADI Late 106 Very Good6 Very Poor 104 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 8 4 7
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...III