Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
611
FNUS52 KILM 111917
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
317 PM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Dry high pressure builds through midweek leaving a relatively
rain- free period. Temperatures warm through the week,
particularly late week ahead of a backdoor front. This front
could push into the area this weekend but it is not expected to
bring appreciable rain chances. Relatively cooler and drier
weather expected again early next week.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-121130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
317 PM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 20
Precip Type None None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 1 2
Min/Max Temp 62 88 65 91
Max/Min RH (%) 100 42 99 42
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var E 4 E 5 NE 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 8 Lgt/Var E 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 75/0900 2000 74/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6800 7100
Transport Wind (mph) SE 13 E 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 88400 113600
ADI Early 35 Fair 64 Good 58 Gen Good 95 Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 76 Good 5 Very Poor 110 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 9 5 6
Max LVORI Late 9 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 5 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 5 Fog 7 7
Turner Stability F B E B
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-121130-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
317 PM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 2
Min/Max Temp 63 89 65 92
Max/Min RH (%) 100 37 100 39
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 4 Lgt/Var E 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 75/0900 2000 75/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7900 7500
Transport Wind (mph) SE 8 E 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 63200 105000
ADI Early 52 Gen Good 58 Gen Good 54 Gen Good 81 Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 75 Good 4 Very Poor 115 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 4 9 4 9
Max LVORI Late 9 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 5 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 5 Fog 7 7
Turner Stability F A E A
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 95 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
36 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
42 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-121130-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
317 PM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 20
Precip Type None None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 2 2
Min/Max Temp 63 88 66 90
Max/Min RH (%) 100 43 100 44
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var E 4 E 5 NE 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 7 Lgt/Var E 8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 76/0900 2000 75/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6800 7200
Transport Wind (mph) E 13 E 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 88400 108000
ADI Early 40 Fair 62 Good 59 Gen Good 87 Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 79 Good 5 Very Poor 105 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 9 5 6
Max LVORI Late 9 1 8 1
Min VSBY Early 7 5 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 5 Fog 7 7
Turner Stability F B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 95 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-121130-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
317 PM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 62 90 65 91
Max/Min RH (%) 100 37 100 39
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 4 Lgt/Var E 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 75/0900 2000 75/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7900 7800
Transport Wind (mph) SE 9 E 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 71100 101400
ADI Early 54 Gen Good 60 Gen Good 57 Gen Good 79 Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 80 Good 4 Very Poor 107 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 4 9 5 9
Max LVORI Late 9 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 5 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 5 Fog 7 7
Turner Stability F A E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
89 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 40 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 44 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...LEW