Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
447
FNUS52 KILM 110744
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
344 AM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Dry high pressure will build over the area through midweek leaving
a relatively rain-free period with warming temperatures through
the week. A backdoor front could sag into the area this weekend
but it is not expected to bring appreciable rain chances.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-112345-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
344 AM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 20 0 0
Precip Type Tstms None None
LAL 2 2 1
Max/Min Temp 88 64 89
Min/Max RH (%) 40 100 42
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 4 Lgt/Var SE 6
Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/0900 2000 76/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 5 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 8300 6500
Transport Wind (mph) NE 8 SE 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 66400 65000
ADI Early 39 Fair 28 Fair 56 Gen Good
ADI Late 66 Good 4 Very Poor 65 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 5 9
Max LVORI Late 1 8 1
Min VSBY Early 4 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
55 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
52 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-112345-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
344 AM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 2 1 1
Max/Min Temp 89 63 90
Min/Max RH (%) 37 100 37
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 72/0900 2000 75/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 5 4 4
DSI 3 4
Mixing Hgt (ft) 8500 7300
Transport Wind (mph) NW 8 SE 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 68000 58400
ADI Early 34 Fair 50 Gen Good 53 Gen Good
ADI Late 77 Good 4 Very Poor 67 Good
Max LVORI Early 9 4 9
Max LVORI Late 1 8 1
Min VSBY Early 3 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
39 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-112345-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
344 AM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 2 1 1
Max/Min Temp 88 64 89
Min/Max RH (%) 43 100 43
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 72/0900 2000 76/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 8000 6600
Transport Wind (mph) NE 8 SE 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 64000 79200
ADI Early 38 Fair 31 Fair 61 Good
ADI Late 64 Good 4 Very Poor 71 Good
Max LVORI Early 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 3 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-112345-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
344 AM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 2 1 1
Max/Min Temp 88 64 90
Min/Max RH (%) 38 100 37
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 72/0900 2000 75/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 5 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 8300 7300
Transport Wind (mph) N 8 SE 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 66400 65700
ADI Early 33 Fair 56 Gen Good 58 Gen Good
ADI Late 75 Good 4 Very Poor 75 Good
Max LVORI Early 9 4 9
Max LVORI Late 1 8 1
Min VSBY Early 1 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
40 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
40 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
41 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...RGZ