Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
893
FNUS52 KILM 101913
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
313 PM EDT Mon Jun 10 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Some drier air will build into the area tomorrow. Rain-free
conditions will then persist for the remainder of the week while
each day grows warmer than the previous. A backdoor front could
sag into the area this weekend but it is not expected to bring
appreciable rain chances.
Fog potential for tonight is High.
NCZ105>110-111115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
313 PM EDT Mon Jun 10 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 30 30 0 0
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None None
LAL 3 2 2 1
Min/Max Temp 63 87 63 88
Max/Min RH (%) 100 39 100 48
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 5 Lgt/Var SE 6
Precip Amount 0.06 0.01 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 73/0900 2000 74/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7600 6300
Transport Wind (mph) N 8 SE 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 60800 63000
ADI Early 26 Fair 39 Fair 32 Fair 53 Gen Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 62 Good 4 Very Poor 62 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 9 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability E A F B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-111115-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
313 PM EDT Mon Jun 10 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 20 20 0 0
Precip Type Tstms Showers None None
LAL 3 2 2 1
Min/Max Temp 62 88 64 89
Max/Min RH (%) 100 35 100 40
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 4
Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1 0
Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM
Precip End 3 AM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 73/0900 2000 74/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 8300 7600
Transport Wind (mph) NW 8 S 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 66400 60800
ADI Early 37 Fair 37 Fair 43 Gen Good 50 Gen Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 75 Good 4 Very Poor 69 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 9 5 9
Max LVORI Late 9 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
44 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-111115-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
313 PM EDT Mon Jun 10 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 50 30 0 0
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None None
LAL 3 2 2 1
Min/Max Temp 63 87 65 88
Max/Min RH (%) 100 41 100 49
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 4 Lgt/Var SE 6
Precip Amount 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 73/0900 2000 75/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6900 6500
Transport Wind (mph) NW 8 SE 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 55200 65000
ADI Early 24 Fair 30 Fair 33 Fair 48 Gen Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 54 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 63 Good
Max LVORI Early 7 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 9 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs around
90. Minimum RH 54 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-111115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
313 PM EDT Mon Jun 10 2024
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 20 0 0 0
Precip Type Tstms None None None
LAL 3 2 1 1
Min/Max Temp 62 87 64 89
Max/Min RH (%) 100 37 100 44
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var E 4
Precip Amount 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 4 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 72/0900 2000 74/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 8000 7500
Transport Wind (mph) NW 8 SE 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 64000 60000
ADI Early 26 Fair 32 Fair 50 Gen Good 56 Gen Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 73 Good 4 Very Poor 71 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 9 5 9
Max LVORI Late 9 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
46 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$