Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
927
FNUS52 KILM 250802
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
402 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Hot and humid conditions continue for much of this week and into
the weekend. Isolated showers and storms are possible each day
with a better chance of storms on Thursday with another front and
upper level disturbance.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-260015-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
402 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 2 1 1
Max/Min Temp 93 71 95
Min/Max RH (%) 48 100 51
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SE 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 7 Lgt/Var S 6
Precip Amount 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 72/0600 2100 78/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 5200
Transport Wind (mph) E 14 S 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 64400 67600
ADI Early 52 Gen Good 54 Gen Good 40 Fair
ADI Late 61 Good 5 Very Poor 63 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 6 9
Max LVORI Late 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with thunderstorms likely and a chance of
showers. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-260015-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
402 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20
Precip Type None None Showers
LAL 2 1 1
Max/Min Temp 96 71 98
Min/Max RH (%) 39 100 42
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SE 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 4 Lgt/Var S 4
Precip Amount 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/0800 2100 76/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7600 6900
Transport Wind (mph) SE 10 S 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 76000 82800
ADI Early 54 Gen Good 71 Good 39 Fair
ADI Late 77 Good 5 Very Poor 80 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 9
Max LVORI Late 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-260015-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
402 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 20 0 20
Precip Type Tstms None Showers
LAL 3 2 2
Max/Min Temp 95 72 95
Min/Max RH (%) 50 100 51
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SE 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 6 Lgt/Var S 6
Precip Amount 0.00
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 1 PM 8 AM
Precip End 6 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/0800 2100 78/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 5600
Transport Wind (mph) E 10 S 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 46000 67200
ADI Early 38 Fair 48 Gen Good 42 Gen Good
ADI Late 51 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 63 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 6 9
Max LVORI Late 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with thunderstorms likely and a chance of
showers. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-260015-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
402 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 20 0 20
Precip Type Tstms None Showers
LAL 2 2 2
Max/Min Temp 96 72 98
Min/Max RH (%) 39 100 43
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SE 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 5 Lgt/Var S 4
Precip Amount 0.00
Precip Duration 0 0
Precip Begin 2 PM 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/0800 2100 77/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 8000 7100
Transport Wind (mph) SE 9 S 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 72000 71000
ADI Early 47 Gen Good 66 Good 38 Fair
ADI Late 70 Good 5 Very Poor 82 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 9
Max LVORI Late 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with thunderstorms likely and a chance of
showers. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation below normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...21