Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
089
FNUS52 KILM 210659
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
259 AM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will prevail to the north while low pressure remains
well south of the area as it moves onshore in the vicinity of
FL/GA today. The low will bring an uptick in moisture and a
chance for showers and isolated thunder today. Warmer and more
humid conditions with increased convection chances are expected
this weekend into next week as a more summertime pattern sets up.
Heat indices will approach advisory thresholds of 105 Mon thru Wed
of next week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-212300-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
259 AM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 30 0 30
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms
LAL 3 1 3
Max/Min Temp 90 70 92
Min/Max RH (%) 59 100 54
Wind20ft/Early (mph) E 5 SE 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 6 Lgt/Var S 6
Precip Amount 0.11 0.00 0.03
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 7 AM 8 AM
Precip End 6 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0900 2100 77/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4100 4600
Transport Wind (mph) E 13 S 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 53300 55200
ADI Early 48 Gen Good 44 Gen Good 38 Fair
ADI Late 47 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 61 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 9
Max LVORI Late 2 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 5 Fog 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-212300-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
259 AM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 20 0 30
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms
LAL 3 1 3
Max/Min Temp 92 70 93
Min/Max RH (%) 45 100 48
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SE 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.10 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 10 AM 8 AM
Precip End 6 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0900 2100 77/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 5300
Transport Wind (mph) SE 10 S 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 57000 53000
ADI Early 55 Gen Good 47 Gen Good 35 Fair
ADI Late 60 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 66 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 6 9
Max LVORI Late 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 5 Fog 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-212300-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
259 AM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 2 1 3
Max/Min Temp 93 71 94
Min/Max RH (%) 40 100 45
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 4 SE 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 5 Lgt/Var S 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 72/0800 2100 75/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6500 5600
Transport Wind (mph) SE 9 S 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58500 50400
ADI Early 64 Good 47 Gen Good 34 Fair
ADI Late 67 Good 5 Very Poor 73 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 8
Max LVORI Late 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 5 Fog 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-212300-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
259 AM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 40 20 40
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3
Max/Min Temp 90 71 92
Min/Max RH (%) 61 100 56
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 5 SE 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 6 Lgt/Var S 5
Precip Amount 0.10 0.02 0.03
Precip Duration 2 1 1
Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 10 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0900 2100 78/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 4700
Transport Wind (mph) E 14 S 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58800 61100
ADI Early 51 Gen Good 48 Gen Good 38 Fair
ADI Late 49 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 65 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 7 9
Max LVORI Late 2 9 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 5 Rain 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 63 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Light
winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-212300-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
259 AM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 30 0 30
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms
LAL 3 3 3
Max/Min Temp 91 71 92
Min/Max RH (%) 49 100 52
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 4 SE 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 5 Lgt/Var SE 4
Precip Amount 0.09 0.00 0.02
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 10 AM 8 AM
Precip End 6 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0900 2100 79/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5500 5200
Transport Wind (mph) E 13 S 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 71500 52000
ADI Early 65 Good 56 Gen Good 38 Fair
ADI Late 64 Good 5 Very Poor 69 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 6 9
Max LVORI Late 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 5 Fog 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-212300-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
259 AM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 2 2 3
Max/Min Temp 93 70 94
Min/Max RH (%) 39 100 47
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SE 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0900 2100 78/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 5 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6400 5600
Transport Wind (mph) E 9 S 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 57600 50400
ADI Early 67 Good 57 Gen Good 30 Fair
ADI Late 71 Good 5 Very Poor 66 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 9
Max LVORI Late 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 5 Fog 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...dch