Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
213
FNUS52 KILM 140709
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
309 AM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Warming temperatures are expected this weekend with only a small
chance of showers and thunderstorms on Saturday. Dry conditions
continue through early next week as near normal temperatures
return.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-142315-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
309 AM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 3
Max/Min Temp 93 69 94
Min/Max RH (%) 37 89 41
Wind20ft/Early (mph) N 4 Lgt/Var W 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NE 5 Lgt/Var NE 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.06
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0900 2000 76/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 5 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7500 7100
Transport Wind (mph) NE 10 N 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 75000 71000
ADI Early 74 Good 34 Fair 54 Gen Good
ADI Late 100 Good 6 Very Poor 71 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-142315-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
309 AM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 2
Max/Min Temp 93 70 94
Min/Max RH (%) 35 84 40
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NW 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var N 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0900 2000 80/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 5 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7900 6500
Transport Wind (mph) N 9 N 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 71100 78000
ADI Early 67 Good 61 Good 52 Gen Good
ADI Late 104 Very Good6 Very Poor 82 Good
Max LVORI Early 7 3 5
Max LVORI Late 1 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
40 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
45 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-142315-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
309 AM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 3
Max/Min Temp 92 69 94
Min/Max RH (%) 37 89 40
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var W 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var E 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.05
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 3 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0900 2000 77/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 5 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7900 7400
Transport Wind (mph) N 10 NW 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 79000 66600
ADI Early 69 Good 49 Gen Good 50 Gen Good
ADI Late 100 Good 6 Very Poor 64 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-142315-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
309 AM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 2
Max/Min Temp 93 70 95
Min/Max RH (%) 35 84 38
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NW 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0900 2000 80/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 5 5 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 8100 7200
Transport Wind (mph) N 9 N 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 72900 64800
ADI Early 61 Good 71 Good 49 Gen Good
ADI Late 96 Good 6 Very Poor 72 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 3 4
Max LVORI Late 1 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 41 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 41 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 47 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$