Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
312
FNUS52 KILM 230720
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
320 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Typical summertime diurnally driven convection expected today
through much of the upcoming work week. In addition, hot and
humid conditions to occur during the work-week that may require
heat advisories. Remnants of a tropical wave will move along the
Carolina Coasts today, enhancing the convection potential and
coverage across the area. A weak cold frontal passage Monday
night will also enhance the convection Mon. Some temporary relief
from the heat expected Tue.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-232330-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
320 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 30 20 60
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 2 4
Max/Min Temp 92 74 96
Min/Max RH (%) 59 96 49
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 6 S 8 G20 SW 7 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 10 G21 SW 7 G18 SW 7 G18
Precip Amount 0.04 0.04 0.20
Precip Duration 1 1 4
Precip Begin 9 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0800 2100 80/0800
Dispersion Good
Haines Index 3 3 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 5900
Transport Wind (mph) S 21 SW 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 98700 106200
ADI Early 73 Good 76 Good 61 Good
ADI Late 79 Good 18 Gen Poor 75 Good
Max LVORI Early 7 4 5
Max LVORI Late 2 5 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-232330-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
320 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 30 20 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 4
Max/Min Temp 93 74 96
Min/Max RH (%) 56 97 45
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 S 6 SW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 8 S 5 W 5
Precip Amount 0.03 0.02 0.14
Precip Duration 1 1 1
Precip Begin 10 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 2 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0800 2100 79/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 3 3 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 5500
Transport Wind (mph) S 18 W 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 88200 88000
ADI Early 72 Good 87 Good 64 Good
ADI Late 94 Good 13 Gen Poor 90 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 5 6
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 89 percent. Light
winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-232330-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
320 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 30 30 40
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3
Max/Min Temp 93 75 97
Min/Max RH (%) 53 95 39
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 5 S 7 SW 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 8 S 6 W 6
Precip Amount 0.10 0.06 0.04
Precip Duration 1 1 1
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 1 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0800 2100 79/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5300 6600
Transport Wind (mph) S 15 W 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 79500 99000
ADI Early 70 Good 73 Good 59 Gen Good
ADI Late 77 Good 12 Poor 103 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 7 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 76 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
36 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-232330-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
320 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 40 30 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3
Max/Min Temp 90 75 96
Min/Max RH (%) 64 96 45
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 5 S 7 G17 SW 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 9 G19 SW 6 SW 7
Precip Amount 0.05 0.02 0.13
Precip Duration 2 1 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 1 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0800 2100 79/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 3 3 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 7000
Transport Wind (mph) S 18 W 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 75600 119000
ADI Early 58 Gen Good 63 Good 67 Good
ADI Late 64 Good 13 Gen Poor 96 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 5 5
Max LVORI Late 2 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-232330-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
320 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 40 30 40
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3
Max/Min Temp 92 74 96
Min/Max RH (%) 59 95 43
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 S 5 SW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 6 S 4 W 6
Precip Amount 0.13 0.04 0.07
Precip Duration 2 1 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 10 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/0800 2100 79/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 3 3 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 5900
Transport Wind (mph) S 13 W 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58500 100300
ADI Early 53 Gen Good 58 Gen Good 74 Good
ADI Late 60 Gen Good 11 Poor 106 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 9 5 6
Max LVORI Late 2 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 87 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
39 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-232330-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
320 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 30 30 40
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3
Max/Min Temp 94 75 97
Min/Max RH (%) 52 95 37
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 S 6 SW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 6 S 5 W 5
Precip Amount 0.08 0.06 0.02
Precip Duration 1 1 1
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 1 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/0800 2000 78/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 7200
Transport Wind (mph) S 13 W 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 74100 108000
ADI Early 53 Gen Good 68 Good 63 Good
ADI Late 73 Good 11 Poor 110 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 8 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 73 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
36 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...dch