Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
312 FNUS52 KILM 231919 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 319 PM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024 .DISCUSSION... High pressure north of the area weakens by Tuesday allowing for a rise in humidity and perhaps some very light rain. More unsettled weather should return late week as we see at least some fringe effects from low pressure tracking northward from the Gulf of Mexico. Fog potential for tonight is Moderate. NCZ105>110-241130- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 319 PM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024 Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 20 0 0 Precip Type None Tstms None None LAL 1 2 2 2 Min/Max Temp 67 84 68 86 Max/Min RH (%) 98 71 100 65 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 5 Lgt/Var SE 5 Precip Amount 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration 1 Precip Begin 8 AM Precip End 6 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 75/1000 1900 75/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 3500 4300 Transport Wind (mph) S 12 SE 10 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 42000 43000 ADI Early 14 Gen Poor 22 Fair 23 Fair 37 Fair ADI Late 4 Very Poor 39 Fair 5 Very Poor 41 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 6 6 6 9 Max LVORI Late 6 3 9 3 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability F C F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 78 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds around 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-241130- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 319 PM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024 Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 20 40 30 20 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers Tstms LAL 2 2 3 2 Min/Max Temp 67 85 68 86 Max/Min RH (%) 100 70 100 62 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var SE 4 Precip Amount 0.00 0.04 0.06 0.01 Precip Duration 0 2 2 1 Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 6 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 75/1000 1900 73/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 3500 3900 Transport Wind (mph) S 14 S 12 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 49000 46800 ADI Early 20 Gen Poor 30 Fair 22 Fair 39 Fair ADI Late 5 Very Poor 36 Fair 6 Very Poor 43 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 6 8 7 9 Max LVORI Late 8 3 9 3 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability E C E C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. East winds around 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-241130- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 319 PM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024 Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 30 0 0 Precip Type None Tstms None None LAL 1 2 2 1 Min/Max Temp 69 87 69 86 Max/Min RH (%) 100 69 100 64 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 4 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var SE 6 Precip Amount 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration 1 Precip Begin 8 AM Precip End 6 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 76/0900 1900 75/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 3400 3900 Transport Wind (mph) S 13 SE 12 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 44200 46800 ADI Early 27 Fair 33 Fair 28 Fair 32 Fair ADI Late 5 Very Poor 43 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 41 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 7 9 7 9 Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 3 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability F C F C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. East winds around 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. East winds around 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds around 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-241130- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 319 PM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024 Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 20 30 30 20 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 2 2 3 2 Min/Max Temp 69 87 69 86 Max/Min RH (%) 100 65 100 60 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var SE 5 Precip Amount 0.01 0.04 0.03 0.01 Precip Duration 0 2 1 0 Precip Begin 3 AM Continuing Continuing 2 PM Precip End Continuing Continuing 5 AM 6 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 74/0900 1900 73/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 4 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 3900 4000 Transport Wind (mph) S 14 SE 12 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 54600 48000 ADI Early 32 Fair 33 Fair 20 Gen Poor 40 Fair ADI Late 5 Very Poor 52 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 37 Fair Max LVORI Early 9 9 7 9 Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 3 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability E C E C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. East winds around 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. East winds around 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent. East winds around 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$