Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
314
FNUS52 KILM 251910
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
310 PM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Warm and humid today with low shower chances lingering inland through
the evening. Unsettled weather will return overnight into Thursday
as Helene tracks through the Gulf of Mexico toward the Florida
coast. The main swath of rain will pass through the area Friday
with high pressure drying out the area over the weekend.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-261115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
310 PM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 30 60 80
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 2 3 3
Min/Max Temp 71 82 74 84
Max/Min RH (%) 98 75 98 79
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 4 SE 4 SE 7 G17 SE 13 G25
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 6 SE 9 G23 S 12 G25
Precip Amount 0.00 0.04 0.42 0.63
Precip Duration 1 4 6
Precip Begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 77/0900 1900 75/0600
Dispersion Poor Good
Haines Index 3 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3200 2900
Transport Wind (mph) SE 18 S 29
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 57600 84100
ADI Early 19 Gen Poor 44 Gen Good 20 Gen Poor 54 Gen Good
ADI Late 8 Poor 47 Gen Good 21 Fair 71 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 5 5
Max LVORI Late 6 3 5 4
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability E C D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
72 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-261115-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
310 PM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Cloudy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 30 80 80
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 2 3 3
Min/Max Temp 71 82 74 86
Max/Min RH (%) 99 75 99 73
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 4 E 4 E 6 G17 SE 12 G25
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 6 E 9 G23 S 11 G25
Precip Amount 0.00 0.04 0.41 0.60
Precip Duration 2 6 7
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 77/1000 1900 75/0600
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
Haines Index 3 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2900 3500
Transport Wind (mph) SE 17 S 30
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 49300 105000
ADI Early 26 Fair 48 Gen Good 19 Gen Poor 60 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 49 Gen Good 20 Gen Poor 77 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 8 5 5
Max LVORI Late 7 3 5 4
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability E C D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
69 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 70 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-261115-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
310 PM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Cloudy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 20 50 80 80
Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 3 3 3
Min/Max Temp 73 82 74 86
Max/Min RH (%) 97 76 99 73
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 5 SE 5 E 9 G22 SE 15 G27
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 4 SE 7 G17 SE 14 G27 S 13 G26
Precip Amount 0.02 0.09 0.52 0.43
Precip Duration 1 2 6 4
Precip Begin 12 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 77/0900 1900 76/0600
Dispersion Fair Excellent
Haines Index 3 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3100 3900
Transport Wind (mph) SE 18 S 30
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 55800 117000
ADI Early 27 Fair 42 Gen Good 28 Fair 76 Good
ADI Late 10 Poor 45 Gen Good 26 Fair 80 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 5 4
Max LVORI Late 6 4 5 4
Min VSBY Early 7 7 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 4 Rain
Turner Stability D C D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around
80. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
66 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-261115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
310 PM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Cloudy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 20 60 90 90
Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 3 3 3
Min/Max Temp 72 81 73 86
Max/Min RH (%) 99 76 99 69
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 5 E 4 E 8 G18 SE 14 G26
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 6 E 13 G24 S 12 G25
Precip Amount 0.01 0.17 0.72 0.42
Precip Duration 1 3 12 4
Precip Begin 12 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 76/1000 1900 75/0600
Dispersion Poor Good
Haines Index 3 3 3 4
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2900 4200
Transport Wind (mph) SE 18 S 29
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 52200 121800
ADI Early 31 Fair 42 Gen Good 26 Fair 73 Good
ADI Late 10 Poor 53 Gen Good 25 Fair 84 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 8 5 4
Max LVORI Late 7 4 5 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 5 Rain 5 Rain
Turner Stability D C D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 95 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs around 80. Minimum RH 69 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...LEW