Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
509
FNUS52 KILM 251844
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
244 PM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Hot and humid conditions continue for much of this week and into
the weekend. Isolated showers and storms are possible each day
with a better chance of storms on Thursday with another front and
upper level disturbance.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-261045-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
244 PM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 50
Precip Type None None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 1 4
Min/Max Temp 71 95 74 96
Max/Min RH (%) 99 49 98 51
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var S 7 SW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 7 SW 5 S 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 78/0800 2100 78/0700
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 5000
Transport Wind (mph) S 13 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 74100 70000
ADI Early 55 Gen Good 41 Gen Good 62 Good 61 Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 63 Good 9 Poor 62 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 8 4 6
Max LVORI Late 8 1 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-261045-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
244 PM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 60
Precip Type None None None Tstms
LAL 2 1 1 4
Min/Max Temp 71 98 74 97
Max/Min RH (%) 100 41 97 42
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var S 6 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 S 4 S 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 77/0800 2100 77/0700
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7900 6600
Transport Wind (mph) S 12 SW 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 94800 85800
ADI Early 59 Gen Good 40 Fair 81 Good 56 Gen Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 88 Good 9 Poor 77 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 9 4 6
Max LVORI Late 9 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-261045-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
244 PM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 20 0 40
Precip Type None Tstms None Tstms
LAL 1 2 2 3
Min/Max Temp 72 95 74 96
Max/Min RH (%) 100 51 98 46
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var S 6 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 S 4 S 5 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.11
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 1 PM 8 AM
Precip End 6 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 79/0800 2100 78/0700
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5300 7100
Transport Wind (mph) S 14 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 74200 99400
ADI Early 45 Gen Good 40 Fair 68 Good 51 Gen Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 69 Good 8 Poor 83 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 9 5 6
Max LVORI Late 9 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-261045-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
244 PM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 60
Precip Type None None None Tstms
LAL 2 2 2 4
Min/Max Temp 71 98 74 97
Max/Min RH (%) 99 40 98 40
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var S 6 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 S 4 SW 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15
Precip Duration 3
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 77/0800 2100 78/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 8400 8400
Transport Wind (mph) S 12 W 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 100800 109200
ADI Early 54 Gen Good 38 Fair 89 Good 50 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 93 Good 8 Poor 108 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 9 4 6
Max LVORI Late 9 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation below normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...7