Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
650
FNUS52 KILM 200659
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
259 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Seasonably warm and mainly dry conditions will continue into
tonight. Onshore movement of showers and possibly a tstorm late
tonight into Fri as a result of low pressure tracking across the
Atlantic, that eventually moves onshore the GA and FL Coasts
Fri. A warming trend expected this weekend as winds become S to
SW along with summer-like chance of afternoon showers and
thunderstorms. Heat indices may reach the triple digits over the
weekend. Back to more humid conditions next week with a better
chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-202300-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
259 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 3
Max/Min Temp 89 65 89
Min/Max RH (%) 44 97 56
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 6 G17 E 6 G17 NE 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 9 G18 Lgt/Var E 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.04
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/0800 2000 75/0800
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 4 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5800 4600
Transport Wind (mph) E 16 E 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 92800 55200
ADI Early 100 Good 78 Good 44 Gen Good
ADI Late 98 Good 5 Very Poor 49 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-202300-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
259 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 2
Max/Min Temp 92 65 92
Min/Max RH (%) 37 98 43
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 4 E 5 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 7 Lgt/Var E 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 72/0800 2000 76/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6700 5500
Transport Wind (mph) E 14 SE 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 93800 44000
ADI Early 98 Good 85 Good 44 Gen Good
ADI Late 101 Very Good6 Very Poor 51 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 4 8
Max LVORI Late 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
48 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
45 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-202300-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
259 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 30
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 3
Max/Min Temp 89 66 88
Min/Max RH (%) 43 96 62
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 6 G19 E 6 G19 NE 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 10 G21 NE 4 E 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.15
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 7 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/0800 2100 74/0800
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 4 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6200 3900
Transport Wind (mph) E 17 E 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 105400 50700
ADI Early 98 Good 84 Good 47 Gen Good
ADI Late 103 Very Good6 Very Poor 50 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-202300-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
259 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 30
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 3
Max/Min Temp 91 64 91
Min/Max RH (%) 37 97 47
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 5 E 5 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 7 Lgt/Var E 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.05
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 72/0800 2100 75/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6800 5100
Transport Wind (mph) E 15 E 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 102000 51000
ADI Early 104 Very Good92 Good 47 Gen Good
ADI Late 108 Very Good6 Very Poor 52 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 4 8
Max LVORI Late 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...dch