202
FNUS72 KILM 152338
FWSILM

Spot Forecast for Darlington County Landfill Fire...Darlington County EMD
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
738 PM EDT Sun Sep 15 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2000 EDT on September 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather
Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374.

.DISCUSSION...
Periodic showers expected tonight with more widespread and heavier
rainfall likely Monday into Monday night as a potential tropical
cyclone tracks near the area. Drier conditions should then return
mid to late week.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers early in the evening, then chance of
                    showers in the late evening and overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 68.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 12 to 15 mph with gusts to
                    around 24 mph.
Min mixing hgt......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 21 to 24 mph.
Min vent rate.......Poor (13207 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........4.
Min ADI.............19.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........77  83  86  88  89  90  91  92  93  94
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............76  74  73  71  71  71  71  70  70  69
RH..............80  84  87  91  90  89  89  90  91  90
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..12  12  12  13  13  13  14  14  14  15
20 FT wind gust.18  19  20  20  20  20  21  21  22  24
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.9 1.1 0.7
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.21  22  23  23  24  24  24  24  24  24
Stability.......D   D   D   D   D   D   D   D   D   D
LVORI...........3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
ADI.............19  20  21  21  22  22  22  22  22  22
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Vrate mph-ft/1K.14  13  16  18  19  23  19  23  26  16
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
Sfc pres (in)...985 985 985 985 985 985 983 983 983 980

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers likely in the
                    morning, then showers and slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........84 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 15 to 24 mph. Gusts up to 37
                    mph increasing to 40 mph late in the afternoon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Max mixing hgt......1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 25 to 31 mph.
Max vent rate.......Good (58725 mph-ft).
Max LVORI...........4.
Max ADI.............58.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........92  91  90  89  88  88  88  89  89  89  89  89
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                            SCH
Temp............69  68  69  69  70  70  72  71  72  72  71  71
RH..............91  93  92  90  89  90  87  88  88  88  88  89
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..15  15  16  16  17  18  17  20  21  21  22  24
20 FT wind gust.24  24  25  26  26  27  26  28  30  31  31  34
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 0.9 1.3 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.8 1.8
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N
Transp wind spd.25  26  25  29  31  30  31  30  30  30  31  31
Stability.......D   D   D   D   D   D   D   D   D   D   D   D
LVORI...........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
ADI.............23  32  38  50  57  56  58  55  53  51  56  56
Haines index....3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Vrate mph-ft/1K.27  24  33  48  56  57  59  55  52  49  55  55
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR
Sfc pres (in)...980 980 979 979 979 980 980 980 973 973 973 964

$$
Forecaster...Scalora
Requested by...Molly Odom
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2422504.0/ILM
.DELDT 09/15/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL modom@darcoems.net