773
FXUS61 KILN 161727
AFDILN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
127 PM EDT Mon Sep 16 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure centered northeast of the area will weaken. Low
pressure will move northwest from the Atlantic coast into the
central Appalachians before weakening by mid week. This will
bring an increase in clouds and at least a chance of some rain,
mainly from northeast Kentucky into central Ohio beginning
Tuesday into Thursday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
A few cumulus are starting to develop and will last through most
of the afternoon. This cirrus will spread into eastern counties
as well. Forecast temperatures still look reasonable.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/...
Mid level ridge from the Great Lakes thru New England will
continue to shift to the north as low pressure tracks northwest
from the Carolina coast into the central Appalachians. Mid and
high level clouds will increase from the southeast overnight
ahead of this low. Low temperatures to range from the lower 50s
west to the upper 50s east.

Moisture will increase ahead of this low will a chance of rain
in the far east mainly Tuesday afternoon. Highs to range from
near 80 east to the lower 80s west.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
Weakening tropical cyclone moving from the Carolinas toward the Ohio
Valley will provide unsettled weather during the first portion of
the long term. At this point the model blend brings a chance of
showers and a few thunderstorms to eastern sections of the FA
Wednesday through Thursday. System will be fighting a dry airmass in
place that may diminish coverage and intensity of the precipitation.
High pressure and dry weather are forecast to return for Friday
through Sunday.

High temperatures in the upper 70s and low 80s on Wednesday will be
limited by clouds and possibly precip. Readings are expected to rise
in the low and mid 80s Thursday then to the mid and upper 80s Friday
through Sunday as sunshine returns behind the departing tropical
remnants.

&&

.AVIATION /17Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
VFR will continue through the period. A few cumulus early will
dissipate with the loss of heating. Otherwise, high clouds will
spread across the region from the east. Winds will be easterly
at 10 kt or less.

OUTLOOK...No significant weather expected.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...AR
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...AR
LONG TERM...Coniglio
AVIATION...