Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FNUS72 KJAX 180750
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Spot Forecast for Silver Springs Forest...St Johns River Water Management District
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
350 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 EDT on June 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure will be northeast of the region through the weekend
into early next week. An inverted trough will move west across the
area Thursday into Friday. This pattern will lead to a prolonged period of
onshore flow with elevated and gusty winds. Above normal chances for
precipitation expected from Thursday through Monday.

.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........43  48  52  47  44  41  44  44  44
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  0   10  10  20  20  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............81  84  86  88  90  90  91  91  90
RH..............69  63  57  54  49  49  47  47  50
Heat index (F)..84  87  91  92  94  95  94  94  93
Wind chill (F)..81  84  88  89  91  92  91  91  90
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..9   12  14  15  16  16  16  17  17
20 FT wind gust.10  14  15  17  17  18  18  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...3.2 4.2 5.2 5.3 5.8 6.1 5.8 5.9 5.3
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.16  18  21  21  21  21  21  21  22
Dispersion idx..65  72  87  90  93  94  93  94  91
LVORI...........2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........53  54  55  47  45  50  48  47  48  45  37  33
Weather cov.....SCH CHC SCH         SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC SCH CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW          RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20  30  20  10  10  20  20  20  40  30  20  30
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............88  85  83  81  80  78  78  77  76  74  74  74
RH..............54  61  65  69  74  79  82  82  85  87  90  87
Heat index (F)..90  88  86  84  79  77  76  75  74  73  73  72
Wind chill (F)..88  85  83  81  79  77  76  75  74  73  73  72
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..16  15  13  10  10  9   8   8   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.20  17  17  16  14  13  13  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...4.5 4.1 3.3 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.22  22  22  22  21  20  18  16  15  15  15  15
Dispersion idx..86  83  30  22  21  17  16  15  12  11  7   7
LVORI...........1   1   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   5

.JUNETEENTH...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........33  34  13  17  20  24  24  24  24  23  23  22
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  60  60  60  60
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2
Temp............73  74  76  80  84  87  89  90  91  91  90  89
RH..............90  90  87  77  67  61  57  56  52  52  54  54
Heat index (F)..73  75  76  79  88  92  93  95  96  96  95  95
Wind chill (F)..73  75  76  79  83  86  87  89  90  90  89  89
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..7   8   7   8   9   10  10  10  10  10  12  12
20 FT wind gust.10  13  10  13  14  16  16  16  16  16  17  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.4 1.8 2.8 3.7 4.7 4.9 5.1 5.3 5.2 5.0 4.9
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.15  16  17  17  18  18  20  20  21  21  21  21
Dispersion idx..8   11  38  59  78  95  100 106 109 104 98  95
LVORI...........5   5   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Struble
Requested by...Kyle Madden
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416315.0/JAX
.DELDT 06/18/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kmadden@sjrwmd.com