Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL
Versions:
1
050 FNUS72 KJAX 110847 FWSJAX Spot Forecast for Impact WF...Camp Blanding National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 447 AM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 EDT on June 11. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible over the wildfire during the late afternoon and evening hours today. Isolated to widely scattered showers and possibly a thunderstorm will remain in the forecast overnight through the early morning hours on Wednesday, followed by increasing chances for showers and thunderstorms on Wednesday afternoon. Westerly transport winds this morning will shift to southwesterly during the mid-afternoon hours today, with the Atlantic sea breeze boundary and possibly thunderstorm outflows crossing the wildfire late this afternoon, possibly resulting in breezy and erratic surface winds. Hot temperatures will create elevated mixing heights before showers and thunderstorms develop later this afternoon, resulting in good to marginally high daytime dispersion value today. Surface and transport winds will shift to southerly after sunset this evening and then east-southeasterly after sunrise on Wednesday. Breezy conditions outside of developing showers and thunderstorms on Wednesday afternoon should result in fair to good daytime dispersion values despite thickening cloud cover and increasing rainfall chances. .TODAY... TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........57 56 55 54 53 51 54 56 58 56 56 61 Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 30 30 40 40 LAL.............1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 Temp............72 73 77 81 85 88 90 91 93 94 94 92 RH..............97 97 85 72 60 50 45 40 40 40 40 40 Heat index (F)..72 73 77 85 90 92 93 94 95 97 97 96 20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW W W W W SW SW SW S SE 20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 5 6 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT wind gust.6 6 6 7 9 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.1 2.4 3.3 4.3 5.2 6.0 6.7 6.9 6.2 5.7 Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W W SW SW S Transp wind spd.12 12 12 12 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 Dispersion idx..6 10 20 35 45 55 65 70 75 75 65 65 LVORI...........7 7 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........62 63 64 62 64 66 62 57 53 53 54 55 Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH Chc of pcpn (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 30 30 20 20 20 20 LAL.............3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Temp............89 85 82 79 77 76 76 75 74 74 74 73 RH..............50 60 72 82 87 90 90 94 97 97 97 100 Heat index (F)..94 90 87 79 77 76 76 75 74 74 74 73 20 FT wind dir..SE S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..7 8 9 8 6 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 20 FT wind gust.10 13 14 13 9 6 3 3 2 2 2 2 Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 2.2 1.3 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 Transp wind dir.S S SE SE S S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.10 12 13 13 12 12 10 10 9 8 8 7 Dispersion idx..45 35 20 15 10 6 5 5 4 4 4 3 LVORI...........1 1 3 4 5 6 6 7 8 8 8 9 .WEDNESDAY... TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........53 51 63 64 63 63 63 63 91 91 91 91 Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY Chc of pcpn (%).20 30 40 40 40 40 40 40 70 70 70 70 LAL.............2 2 1 1 1 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 Temp............72 73 75 79 83 85 86 88 89 89 88 88 RH..............100 97 97 88 80 70 65 60 60 60 60 60 Heat index (F)..72 73 75 79 91 94 95 97 98 98 96 96 20 FT wind dir..S SE SE S SE E E E E E E E 20 FT wind spd..2 3 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 10 10 10 20 FT wind gust.3 6 7 9 10 13 14 16 16 16 16 16 Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.8 1.0 1.8 2.7 3.6 4.0 4.5 4.9 4.2 3.6 2.9 Transp wind dir.S S S S S SE S S S SE E E Transp wind spd.7 7 8 8 8 9 9 10 10 12 12 13 Dispersion idx..3 5 10 20 30 40 45 55 50 50 45 45 LVORI...........9 8 7 4 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 $$ Forecaster...Nelson Requested by...IC Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2415934.0/JAX .DELDT 06/11/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL jeffrey.k.ghinter.nfg@army.mil