Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
229 FXUS65 KLKN 280942 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 242 AM PDT Tue May 28 2024 .SYNOPSIS...A weather disturbance and cold front will bring scattered showers and isolated dry thunderstorms to portions of northeastern Nevada today and through this evening. Limited rainfall and gusty winds are expected with the showers and thunderstorms with an overall modest southwest wind today. Showers and thunderstorms move into far eastern Nevada Wednesday with considerably cooler high temperatures in the 70s across much of central and northern Nevada. A warming trend under high pressure and dry conditions are expected for the latter part of the week. && .SHORT TERM...Today through Wednesday night. An upper trough over the western U.S. along with a cold front will bring showers and thunderstorms to portions of northern and northeastern Nevada today. Overall atmospheric moisture remains limited so many showers/thunderstorms will not produce a wetting rain. The highest chances for a wetting rainfall exist in the Ruby mountains and northern Elko county today at around 20%. Some dry thunderstorms are expected as well. Winds will be out of the southwest at 10-20 mph with high temperatures in the lower 80s in valleys. A few showers will linger into the overnight hours across northern Elko county but overall intensity should wane as the night progresses. Showers and thunderstorms will move into far eastern Nevada Wednesday with gusty post-frontal winds from the northwest in place across much of the state. Temperatures will be considerably cooler across northern Nevada with highs only in the 60s and 70s with a few 80s remaining across northern Nye County. Similarly, WEdnesday night lows are expected to be quite cold, in the lower 30s across northern Elko county with mid 30s farther south into Central Nevada. .LONG TERM...Thursday through next Tuesday. Dry conditions expected across the region as the flow becomes more quasi-zonal towards the end of the week and through the weekend. High temperatures gradually warm in the upper 70s into the mid 80s with overnight lows in the 30s and 40s. Winds will be breezy each afternoon out of the west-northwest. A weak upper level disturbance may bring a 10% chance of light showers across far northern and northeastern Nevada Monday afternoon. Otherwise, quiet and dry conditions continue through early next week. && .AVIATION...VFR conditions at all terminals over the next 24 hours. Mostly sunny this morning becoming mostly cloudy this afternoon and evening due to convective cloud build-ups. There will be a 10-15% chance of thunderstorms at KEKO KTPH and KBAM this afternoon, and a 5% chance of TS in the vicinity of KWMC and KELY. && .HYDROLOGY...Flows on many small creeks and streams remain elevated. The lower Humboldt continues to run strong with Battle Mountain currently in action stage and Comus forecast to enter action stage later this morning. Wildhorse Reservoir resides in action stage and is forecast to remain in action stage for the next several days. Humboldt River at Battle Mountain remains in action stage and is forecast to slowly fall below action stage later today. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ 91/96/96