151
FXUS65 KLKN 270906
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
206 AM PDT Mon May 27 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
Warming trend continues today across the forecast area as high
pressure builds. Isolated showers this afternoon will be possible
over the Ruby Mountains. A trough of low pressure will bring
chances of thunderstorms across northeastern Nevada on Tuesday
and Wednesday afternoons. Afternoon highs are forecast to moderate
Wednesday and Thursday, only to rebound over the weekend as high
pressure begins to nudge its way towards the Intermountain West.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
Afternoon highs continue to trend up across the forecast area as
a weak ridge of high pressure builds over the Intermountain West.
NBM guidance today shows afternoon highs ranging from the mid 70s
to mid 80s. Hi res model guidance is depicting isolated showers
forming over the Ruby Mountains later this afternoon. Showers are
expected to end by late in the evening on Monday as daytime
heating ends.

The warming trend is forecast to continue on Tuesday, where
blended model guidance is showing afternoon highs rise a few more
degrees. Afternoon highs in the upper 70s to mid/upper 80s are
conceivable. A trough of low pressure from the Pacific Northwest
will also introduce a chance of thunderstorms across Northern
Nevada as lift and instability enter the district. HREF
probabilities show about a 20-30% chance of thunder across
northern Elko County Tuesday afternoon and evening. Thunderstorm
potential is forecast to diminish overnight.

.LONG TERM...Wednesday through next Monday

A trough approaches from the Pacific Northwest, bringing light
rain showers with isolated thunderstorms across far northeastern
Nevada Wednesday. Dry conditions for the rest of the CWA with
breezy west to northwesterly winds developing by midweek. As the
trough progresses eastward, a ridge of high pressure builds over
the region. High temperatures gradually warm in the upper 70s into
the mid 80s by next weekend under partly cloudy to mostly sunny
skies.


&&

.AVIATION...VFR conditions at all terminals over the next 24
hours. Mostly sunny this morning with increasing clouds in the
afternoon and evening hours, though all terminals are expected to
remain dry. Clearing late tonight.


&&

.HYDROLOGY...Temperatures are forecast to continue warming the next
couple of days. Flows on many small creeks and streams are
expected to rise, possibly into action stage for some, such as
Lamoille Creek. The lower Humboldt continues to run strong with
Battle Mountain currently in action stage and Comus forecast to
enter action stage later this afternoon.

Wildhorse Reservoir resides in action stage and is forecast to
remain in action stage for the next several days.

Humboldt River at Battle Mountain remains in action stage and is
forecast to remain in action stage for the next several days.

&&

.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

95/90/96