424
FXUS65 KLKN 022005
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
105 PM PDT Sun Jun 2 2024

.SYNOPSIS...A few light rain showers are expected along the Nevada
and Idaho border later this evening through mainly Monday evening.
Cooler conditions continue on Monday, although shower activity
across northeastern Nevada will be winding down. A multi-day
warming trend and light winds under a high pressure ridge will
commence Tuesday with highs reaching into the 90s by Wednesday
with some mid to upper 90s expected across west-central Nevada.
Opportunities for showers and thunderstorms return later this
week across northwestern Nevada.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Monday night. Mid and high-level
clouds continue to move across mainly northern Nevada this
afternoon. No precipitation is occurring at this time. However,
through tonight and into Monday, upper level low pressure will be
moving across the Pacific Northwest states. This will bring
limited moisture to mainly northern Nevada for early Monday
morning. Overnight lows will be in the 40s and 50s with mostly
cloudy skies in the north and mostly clear conditions in central
Nevada.

By Monday morning, the aforementioned low pressure system will
remain in southern Canada. The highest chances for precipitation
will be mainly north of the I-80 corridor where up to 0.15 inches
or so could fall in the valley locations. Highs will be in the 70s
and 80s with the warmest temperatures seen in central Nevada.
Winds will be breezy to windy with west winds of 15 to 25 mph and
gusts to 40 mph. The shower activity will wane during the early
evening hours with clouds scattering out from west to east after
midnight. Overnight lows will be in the 40s and 50s.

.LONG TERM...Tuesday through next Saturday.

A strong ridge of high pressure will build across the western
U.S., bringing warm temperatures and dry conditions to the CWA mid
to late next week. Temperatures will start in the 70s to 80s and
increase into the upper 80s and 90s. Lows will mostly be in the
50s to 60s. Meanwhile, some moisture ahead of a low pressure
system near the southern California coast pushes northward and
may bring a 20% chance of precipitation along the ID/NV border.
The ridge slowly breaks down next weekend along with a 10-25%
chance of rain showers and thunderstorms for region. However,
there are some differences between ensemble members indicating low
to moderate confidence in the timing. Temperatures expected to
remain in the 80s to 90s with breezy southerly winds at 10-15 mph.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR conditions will continue through the next 24 hours
at all terminals. Scattered to broken mid-upper level clouds will
be across the area through Monday. VCSH expected at northern TAF
sites starting after 03Z Mon at KWMC and after 06Z at KBAM and
KEKO. Breezy winds from the SW-W expected to affect all TAF
sites, increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts as high as 25-35
knots.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...Flows on many small creeks and streams remain
elevated. The lower Humboldt continues to run strong with Battle
Mountain currently hovering near action stage and is expected to
remain at or just above action stage for the next several days.

Wildhorse Reservoir resides in action stage and is forecast to
remain in action stage for the next several days.

Finally, Lamoille Creek will be hovering around action stage for
the next couple days and may even increase slightly as
temperatures slowly climb higher in the afternoon period.

&&

.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

86/90/90