345
FNUS76 KLOX 122332
FWSLOX

Spot Forecast for LPF Fire School W2-3...USFS LPF
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
237 PM PDT Wed Jun 12 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 PDT on June 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Winds will shift from southerly to northerly during this time
period, which will bring warming and drying to the burn area.
Afternoon winds may be breezy at times, with gusts of 15 to 20 mph.
Humidities trend drier into Friday, however still expecting
very good overnight recoveries Thursday night. Somewhat lower
confidence in wind speeds Friday which may be 5 mph weaker than
forecast.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Temperature.........51 at ignition...Max 85-86.
RH..................85-90 percent at ignition...Min 25-30 percent.
Eye level winds.....Winds southeast at 1 to 2 mph at
                    ignition, becoming southwest winds 4 to 8
                    mph in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southeast at 2 to 4 mph at
                    Ignition, becoming southwest winds 8 to 16
                    mph in the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Winds southeast at 2 to 5 mph at
                    Ignition, becoming southwest winds 10 to 16
                    mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL at ignition becoming 4000 ft
                    AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 2 to 5 mph early, becoming southwest
                    10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Temperature.........Min 51-52.
RH..................Max 85-95 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds 4 to 6 mph becoming
                    northwest 2 to 5 mph overnight.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 12 mph becoming
                    northwest 5 to 10 mph overnight.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest winds 10 to 14 mph becoming
                    northwest 6 to 10 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL early, becoming 700 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 12 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 5 to 10 mph overnight.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Temperature.........Max 99-100.
RH..................Min 10-15 percent, late in the day.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 2 to 5 mph becoming
                    Northwest to north 5 to 7 gusts to 9 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph becoming
                    Northwest to north 10 to 15 gusts to 18 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Northwest winds 6 to 10 mph becoming
                    Northwest to north 12 to 15 gusts to 20 mph
                    In the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL early, becoming 8700 ft AGL
                    In the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 15
                    mph late in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...PHILLIPS
Requested by...Ivor DeManty
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2416045.0/LOX
.DELDT 06/12/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Ivor.demanty@usda.gov