964
FXUS64 KMAF 210715
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
215 AM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 153 AM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

We continue to see a few showers across the area tonight as tropical
moisture continues to stream west. Unfortunately, this won`t last
much longer as an intense upper high to our east quickly builds
west. This will shut most of the Permian Basin off for rain this
afternoon other than an isolated shower or two. Scattered storms are
still expected across the higher terrain given continued moist,
upslope flow and daytime heating. While widespread flash flooding is
not expected, brief heavy rain could cause localized ponding in low
areas. With less clouds the temperatures will get a boost, but will
still remain below normal. The drier, hotter trend continues into
Saturday with much of the area likely rain-free with highs back into
the 90s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 153 AM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

The upper ridge repositions itself just west of the area early next
week, but remains in full control of our weather. Other than an
isolated storm in the higher terrain the first half of next week
most locations will remain dry. Temperatures climb back to levels we
saw last week before the tropical moisture arrived. Highs by Monday
should be near or above 100 degrees nearly everywhere. Models
diverge later in the week with one possible solution being a cold
front and "less hot" conditions with a chance of rain. The other
solution would be a continuation of hot and dry. Let`s hope for
the former.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1154 PM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024

SHRA continue across the terminals with limited issues. MVFR cigs
are expected to develop over the next few hours. VFR will return
by late morning to early afternoon as southeast winds become
gusty.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               92  70  96  70 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 90  69  94  70 /  40   0   0   0
Dryden                   86  70  89  70 /  30  10   0   0
Fort Stockton            89  69  93  69 /  10   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           82  65  87  69 /  50  10   0   0
Hobbs                    89  66  93  66 /  20   0   0   0
Marfa                    84  59  90  59 /  40  10  10   0
Midland Intl Airport     90  69  93  69 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   90  70  93  70 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     93  71  96  71 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...29
LONG TERM....29
AVIATION...29