Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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Issued by NWS
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819 ACUS11 KWNS 222257 SWOMCD SPC MCD 222257 VAZ000-KYZ000-TNZ000-230030- Mesoscale Discussion 0901 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0557 PM CDT Wed May 22 2024 Areas affected...South-central Kentucky and northern middle Tennessee Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 222257Z - 230030Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...Damaging wind gusts and marginally severe hail may accompany a bowing line segment across north-central middle TN and south-central KY over the next 1-2 hours. DISCUSSION...Recent radar imagery shows a bowing segment with a descending RIJ progressing eastward across Overton County in TN. Confidence in this feature maintaining its intensity over the next few hours is low to moderate considering a weakly forced environment, increasing CINH through evening, and downstream low-level flow parallel to the convergence zone. Regardless, extrapolation of this features may require a short-fused downstream watch for damaging wind gusts up to 70 mph. ..Barnes/Thompson.. 05/22/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX... LAT...LON 35988469 36148488 36278486 36398469 36578472 36638489 36628521 36668536 36928534 37288510 37358454 37348360 36948332 36638363 36318362 36148371 35968385 35938423 35988469