Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
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530 FXUS64 KMEG 062341 AFDMEG Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Memphis TN 641 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 232 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024 Dry weather and seasonal temperatures are expected tonight through early Saturday morning as high pressure remains over the region. A cold front will move through the Mid-South over the weekend bringing showers and thunderstorms along and ahead of the front. Behind this front, dry and cooler weather is expected for Monday. && .DISCUSSION... (This evening through next Wednesday) Issued at 232 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024 Skies are mostly sunny across the Mid-South this afternoon with temperatures in the mid to upper 80s. One frontal boundary continues to move slowly across west Tennessee and north Mississippi with a second front moving into extreme southern Missouri. Some scattered showers have developed ahead of the second front and are moving southeast toward north central and northeast Arkansas. This activity is weakening as it approaches the Mid- South but can`t rule out some light rain over portions of the northeast Arkansas and the Missouri bootheel later this afternoon. The first cold front is expected to fall apart by this evening while the second cold front will quickly move through the region tonight. Little if any precipitation is expected to develop along this front tonight. High pressure will start to build into the region from the north bringing somewhat cooler air to the Mid- South. Temperatures will be near to a few degrees below normal with lows Friday morning in the 60s to around 70 degrees. Dry weather and slightly below normal temperatures are in store for Friday and Friday night as high pressure remains over the region. Highs on Friday will be in the low to mid 80s with lows Saturday morning in the low to mid 60s. Another cold front will approach the region from the northwest on Saturday and then move through the Mid-South on Sunday. Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms will move across northern sections of the Mid-South on Saturday and Saturday night. As the front gets closer to the region early Sunday morning, showers and thunderstorms will become more widespread across the entire Mid-South on Sunday. Locally heavy rainfall is possible across northern sections of the Mid-South from late Saturday night into Sunday morning. As the cold front moves south of the region on Monday, rain will start to become less widespread. High pressure moves into the region by Tuesday morning with dry and somewhat cooler weather for Monday night through Tuesday morning. A series of upper level troughs will pass through the region from Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday bringing a small chance of showers and possible thunderstorms for the entire Mid- South. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 639 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024 VFR conditions are expected to persist through the TAF period. Occasional gusty winds may be experienced at all sites except TUP until around 03z. Winds will shift to out of the northwest and then eventually to out of the north to north-northeast. && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. MO...None. MS...None. TN...None. && $$ PUBLIC FORECAST...ARS AVIATION...JPR