Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
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126 FXUS64 KMEG 281716 AFDMEG Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Memphis TN 1216 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024 ...New AVIATION... .UPDATE... Issued at 1033 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024 High clouds are streaming across the Midsouth downstream from a complex of severe thunderstorms over the ArkLaTex. Clouds may limit our afternoon highs, but we are already in the low to middle 80s, so I decided not to adjust temperatures much. Rain and thunderstorms return to the Midsouth with the heaviest activity in east central Arkansas and north Mississippi. Cooler air will arrive in the Midsouth tomorrow and Thursday followed by gradual warming Friday through the weekend. && .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 343 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Portions of the Mid-South could see areas of patchy fog over the next couple of nights. Rain chances are possible on Wednesday, with even greater precipitation chances starting late this week lasting into the early part of next week. High temperatures will be near 80 degrees for most of this week with temperatures warming into the mid 80s by the early part of next week. && .DISCUSSION... (Today through Monday) Issued at 343 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Clear skies and calm winds will continue to promote radiational cooling as some sites across the Mid-South have reported reduced visibilities. Overnight water vapor analysis places an area of broad ridging across the western half of the country and an area of broad troughing over the eastern portions of the CONUS, with the Mid- South in a northwesterly flow regime. Mid-level ridging is expected to build in across the region, as the troughing over the eastern US gradually breaks down and departs. Precipitation chances across the Mid-South will increase on Wednesday as a shortwave trough, embedded within the approaching ridge, moves toward the Mid-South from Oklahoma. Greater precipitation chances look to affect the region starting late this week potentially lasting through early next week, as multiple mid-level disturbances move through the region. High temperatures are expected to be near 80 degrees through the remainder of the week. A warming trend is expected to start early next week as temperatures warm into the mid to upper 80s. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1214 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024 VFR conditions expected to prevail through the period. NW winds between 7-10 kts will become light then increase to NE/E winds between 5-8 kts on Wednesday. CJC && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. MO...None. MS...None. TN...None. && $$ PUBLIC FORECAST...JDS AVIATION...CJC