340
FXUS64 KMEG 181117
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
617 AM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 243 AM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024

Warm and dry conditions will persist through early next week.
High temperatures will be in the upper 80s and around 90 degrees
with morning lows in the upper 50s and low 60s. Precipitation
chances do not increase until early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 243 AM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024

A 585 dam ridge continues to influence the warm and dry pattern
over the Mid-South. Dry air was able to filter to the surface
quicker than anticipated 24 hours ago, thus daily highs have been
upped slightly to account for enhanced daytime heating. Highs will
continue to creep near 90 degrees with a few areas exceeding the
90 degree mark (slightly above climatology).

Patchy fog will continue to be the main headline in this quiet
pattern. Clear skies, light winds, and wet surfaces from Francine
are supportive of development. Thankfully, sunny skies will slowly
dry out the saturated surface and reduce fog chances through the
forecast.

As the ridge breaks down and breaks free of the blocking pattern,
a low pressure system and associated cold front take aim at the
Mid-South early next week. Until the upper level pattern is
disturbed, expect a persistence forecast in the meantime.

DNM

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 615 AM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024

VFR conditions will continue for much of the forecast period. Some
patchy areas of fog may develop overnight mainly over portions of
west Tennessee near the Tennessee River. Winds will be light and
mainly from the north.

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

PUBLIC FORECAST...DNM
AVIATION...ARS